← Smart money
0xe694…7e7c
SharpEdge
+2.9pp
ROI
+14%
Win rate
25% @ 21.7¢
Brier
0.070
Resolved
3057
Avg size
$2
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 37% (142/379) | -1% | 379 |
| Other | 18% (45/248) | +32% | 248 |
| Economy | 39% (17/44) | +10% | 44 |
| Sports | 50% (3/6) | +26% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (3/6) | -39% | 6 |
| Tech | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
- Politics379 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (142/379)
- ROI
- -1%
- Other248 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (45/248)
- ROI
- +32%
- Economy44 bets
- Hit rate
- 39% (17/44)
- ROI
- +10%
- Sports6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- +26%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (3/6)
- ROI
- -39%
- Tech4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
31% hit · 210/687- Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
- Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.2¢
- Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?WonYes$7 @ 97.7¢
- Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?LostYes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
- Yes$9 @ 11.1¢
- Grüne$1 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?LostYes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?LostYes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$0 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$0 @ 2.3¢
- Hike$0 @ 57.9¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
- No$4 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
- No$1 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 33.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 16.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$232 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$200 @ 96.2¢
- No$172 @ 80.8¢
- No$154 @ 79.9¢
- Yes$105 @ 47.8¢
- Yes$100 @ 20.1¢
- Yes$98 @ 23.9¢
- No$84 @ 45.4¢
- Yes$81 @ 26.4¢
- No$72 @ 97.5¢
- No$66 @ 81.8¢
- No$53 @ 96.8¢
- No$51 @ 63.0¢
- No$45 @ 43.2¢
- Yes$39 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$38 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 16.6¢
- Yes$36 @ 39.8¢
- No$30 @ 50.8¢
- Yes$28 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$28 @ 42.2¢
- Yes$27 @ 7.3¢
- No$16 @ 88.9¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.3¢
- No$14 @ 92.0¢
- No$14 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$14 @ 95.3¢
- Yes$14 @ 41.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 98.5¢
- No$13 @ 79.2¢