← Smart money
0xe3d1…d312
SharpEdge
+13.6pp
ROI
+5%
Win rate
52% @ 38.2¢
Brier
0.153
Resolved
415
Avg size
$92
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 37% (24/65) | +24% | 65 |
| Politics | 55% (12/22) | -6% | 22 |
| Sports | 33% (3/9) | -2% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 83% (5/6) | +23% | 6 |
| Crypto | 67% (2/3) | +32% | 3 |
- Other65 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (24/65)
- ROI
- +24%
- Politics22 bets
- Hit rate
- 55% (12/22)
- ROI
- -6%
- Sports9 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (3/9)
- ROI
- -2%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +23%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +32%
Track record
44% hit · 46/105- Yes$30 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.4¢
- Alcaraz$120 @ 30.0¢
- Zverev$3 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$78 @ 20.8¢
- Yes$808 @ 26.1¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 53.6¢
- No$37 @ 57.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 2.6¢
- Hanfmann$1 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 18.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$42 @ 4.2¢
- No$204 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$69 @ 20.4¢
- Medjedovic$5 @ 27.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 80.8¢
- No$1.8k @ 76.9¢
- No$522 @ 85.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 72.9¢
- Yes$48 @ 0.2¢
- No$54 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- No$51 @ 0.4¢
- Ostapenko$10 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$33 @ 3.1¢
- Yes$75 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$229 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$14 @ 3.4¢
- Yes$119 @ 85.0¢
- No$1.2k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 37.8¢
- No$956 @ 85.3¢
- Li$35 @ 35.0¢
- Shelton$280 @ 7.0¢
- No$2.1k @ 83.2¢
- No$815 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$98 @ 66.5¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
- No$67 @ 38.7¢
- Nava$7 @ 15.0¢
- Norrie$17 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$130 @ 81.3¢
- Joao Fonseca$8 @ 26.0¢
- Novak Djokovic$8 @ 66.0¢
- No$4 @ 8.0¢
- No$100 @ 38.0¢
- No$655 @ 65.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $764 | 12.5¢ |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $601 | 6.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $494 | 15.9¢ |
- Yes$764 @ 12.5¢
- Yes$601 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$494 @ 15.9¢