0xe3d1…d312

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe3d176f5eb48cd7c370236020cb6baee37a4d312
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+18.2pp

ROI

+51%

Win rate

50% @ 31.4¢

Brier

0.151

Resolved

125

Avg size

$64

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	31% (5/16)	+17%	16
Sports	17% (1/6)	-9%	6
Politics	50% (3/6)	+108%	6
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+32%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+37%	1

Other16 bets
Hit rate
31% (5/16)
ROI
+17%
Sports6 bets
Hit rate
17% (1/6)
ROI
-9%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
50% (3/6)
ROI
+108%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+32%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+37%

Track record

35% hit · 11/31

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$30	9.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$17	1.4¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	$8	18.6¢	Lost
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	No	$204	73.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$522	85.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.2k	72.9¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$48	0.2¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$51	0.4¢	Lost
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$229	74.1¢	Won
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$36	37.8¢	Lost
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	$956	85.3¢	Won
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	$67	38.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$100	38.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	$180	35.9¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$1.2k	83.1¢	Won
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	32.7¢	Won
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie	Cameron Norrie	$8	3.8¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	Yes	$275	43.3¢	Won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	$28	31.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	$49	16.8¢	Lost
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$4	3.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$19	3.7¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$5	2.3¢	Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	$41	20.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$1.3k	85.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$3.5k	53.6¢	Won
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$22	6.5¢	Lost

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$30 @ 9.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.4¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
Yes$8 @ 18.6¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Lost
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
No$204 @ 73.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
No$522 @ 85.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.2k @ 72.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$48 @ 0.2¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$51 @ 0.4¢
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Won
Yes$229 @ 74.1¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Lost
Yes$36 @ 37.8¢
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Won
No$956 @ 85.3¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Lost
No$67 @ 38.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$100 @ 38.0¢
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Lost
No$180 @ 35.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$1.2k @ 83.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$1.4k @ 32.7¢
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron NorrieLost
Cameron Norrie$8 @ 3.8¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Won
Yes$275 @ 43.3¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
No$28 @ 31.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Lost
Yes$49 @ 16.8¢
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Lost
Yes$4 @ 3.5¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$19 @ 3.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
No$5 @ 2.3¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?Lost
Yes$41 @ 20.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Lost
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Won
Yes$3.5k @ 53.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$22 @ 6.5¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	Yes	$2.5k	31.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	—	No	$234	82.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
Yes$2.5k @ 31.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?—
No$234 @ 82.0¢