0xe2ee…60b8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xe2eedd8c3b0668dc19757c314ea41dfaa5c760b8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+7.1pp

ROI

+15%

Win rate

63% @ 55.7¢

Brier

0.210

Resolved

301

Avg size

$10

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	58% (77/133)	+21%	133
Politics	71% (36/51)	+12%	51
Geopolitics	50% (7/14)	-9%	14
Sports	40% (4/10)	+16%	10
Crypto	50% (1/2)	-61%	2
Economy	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other133 bets
Hit rate
58% (77/133)
ROI
+21%
Politics51 bets
Hit rate
71% (36/51)
ROI
+12%
Geopolitics14 bets
Hit rate
50% (7/14)
ROI
-9%
Sports10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
+16%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-61%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

59% hit · 125/212

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Lost
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?	Yes	$5	65.0¢	Won
Stars vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	$3	54.0¢	Lost
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?	Yes	$5	49.0¢	Lost
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$6	63.0¢	Lost
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	$15	69.0¢	Lost
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?	No	$8	54.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?	No	$84	70.9¢	Won
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$8	8.6¢	Lost
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	60.5¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$16	47.8¢	Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?	No	$2	87.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?	No	$11	35.1¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	$15	45.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?	No	$183	52.5¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	$11	16.0¢	Lost
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?	No	$1	38.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$29	80.4¢	Won
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$12	37.0¢	Won
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	No	$10	62.0¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$14	61.0¢	Won
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?	No	$7	75.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$22	84.5¢	Won
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$5	75.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$12	69.0¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$56	76.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$33	75.5¢	Won
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?	No	$1	80.0¢	Lost
Eagles vs. Packers	Eagles	$25	51.2¢	Won
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$10	89.0¢	Won
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	$8	77.6¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	$9	76.8¢	Won
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?	No	$19	82.7¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	$10	79.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$3	69.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$10	60.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	No	$7	51.0¢	Won
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?	No	$20	76.2¢	Won
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	Yes	$4	78.0¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$5	89.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$20	44.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	Yes	$1	20.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	No	$13	61.0¢	Won
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	$3	6.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$35	81.7¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$40	48.8¢	Lost
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?	Yes	$2	13.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?	No	$8	31.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$5	56.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	$7	83.0¢	Won

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?Won
Yes$5 @ 65.0¢
Stars vs. CanadiensLost
Canadiens$3 @ 54.0¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Lost
Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Lost
Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Lost
No$15 @ 69.0¢
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?Won
No$8 @ 54.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?Won
No$84 @ 70.9¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.6¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$5 @ 60.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$16 @ 47.8¢
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?Won
No$2 @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?Lost
No$11 @ 35.1¢
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?Won
No$15 @ 45.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?Won
No$183 @ 52.5¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?Lost
Yes$11 @ 16.0¢
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Lost
No$1 @ 38.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Won
No$29 @ 80.4¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Won
No$12 @ 37.0¢
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$10 @ 62.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$14 @ 61.0¢
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?Won
No$7 @ 75.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Won
No$22 @ 84.5¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Won
Yes$5 @ 75.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$12 @ 69.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Won
No$56 @ 76.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Won
No$33 @ 75.5¢
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?Lost
No$1 @ 80.0¢
Eagles vs. PackersWon
Eagles$25 @ 51.2¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Won
No$10 @ 89.0¢
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Won
No$8 @ 77.6¢
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Won
No$9 @ 76.8¢
Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026?Won
No$19 @ 82.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?Won
No$10 @ 79.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
Yes$3 @ 69.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Won
Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Won
No$7 @ 51.0¢
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?Won
No$20 @ 76.2¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Won
Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Won
Yes$5 @ 89.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$20 @ 44.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?Won
No$13 @ 61.0¢
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 6.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$35 @ 81.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$40 @ 48.8¢
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?Lost
Yes$2 @ 13.0¢
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Lost
No$8 @ 31.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Won
No$5 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Won
Yes$7 @ 83.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$39	62.8¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$31	76.4¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$30	58.7¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$30	57.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$30	49.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?	Politics	No	$30	48.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$29	51.7¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$27	71.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$26	78.7¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$24	60.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$22	55.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$20	50.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$20	77.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$20	12.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$19	22.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$16	47.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$15	84.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	No	$15	84.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	No	$15	71.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$15	58.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$13	49.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Tech	No	$10	64.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$10	23.6¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$10	79.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Tech	No	$10	75.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$10	68.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$10	60.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$10	58.0¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$10	53.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$10	33.0¢

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$39 @ 62.8¢
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$31 @ 76.4¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$30 @ 58.7¢
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$30 @ 57.0¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$30 @ 49.0¢
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics
No$30 @ 48.0¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$29 @ 51.7¢
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$27 @ 71.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics
Yes$26 @ 78.7¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$24 @ 60.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$22 @ 55.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Geopolitics
No$20 @ 50.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$20 @ 77.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$20 @ 12.8¢
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$19 @ 22.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Geopolitics
No$16 @ 47.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$15 @ 84.0¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
No$15 @ 84.0¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
No$15 @ 71.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$15 @ 58.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$13 @ 49.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech
No$10 @ 64.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
Yes$10 @ 23.6¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 79.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech
No$10 @ 75.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
No$10 @ 68.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$10 @ 60.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$10 @ 53.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics
Yes$10 @ 33.0¢