0xdd9e…49b3

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xdd9ed02bb67b2ec504be24b98febd651fdac49b3
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+1.4pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

8% @ 6.8¢

Brier

0.012

Resolved

2476

Avg size

$23

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	14% (5/37)	+18%	37
Politics	24% (8/33)	-1%	33
Other	43% (3/7)	-51%	7
Crypto	100% (3/3)	+76%	3
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports37 bets
Hit rate
14% (5/37)
ROI
+18%
Politics33 bets
Hit rate
24% (8/33)
ROI
-1%
Other7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
-51%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+76%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

23% hit · 19/81

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	$1.2k	88.5¢	Won
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$2	11.9¢	Lost
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$31.8k	84.7¢	Won
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$2.4k	1.4¢	Lost
Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	$7	71.9¢	Won
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	No	$3	68.0¢	Won
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	$93	30.0¢	Lost
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	No	$165	27.5¢	Lost
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	$58	57.0¢	Won
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?	No	$461	48.0¢	Lost
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	$94	40.9¢	Won
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	$9	5.3¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$94	46.0¢	Lost
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1.2k	4.0¢	Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$832	8.1¢	Lost
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	$3	2.7¢	Lost
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$14	16.0¢	Lost
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	Germany	$895	44.1¢	Won
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	$38	68.0¢	Lost
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$9	18.9¢	Lost
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	$12	81.0¢	Won
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$3	1.7¢	Won
Will Pato O'Ward win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?	Yes	$30	75.1¢	Won
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	$11	9.9¢	Lost
Will Decibel launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	$13	64.0¢	Won
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	$3	15.0¢	Lost
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$156	52.0¢	Won
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$414	0.1¢	Lost
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	No	$98	89.0¢	Won
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Yes	$206	10.0¢	Lost
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	0.2¢	Lost
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Lost
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	No	$1.1k	11.0¢	Lost
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	$2.3k	7.4¢	Lost
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	$238	15.0¢	Won
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	$43	85.0¢	Lost
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	No	$60	60.0¢	Won
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Lost
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	$22	87.4¢	Won
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	$12	0.7¢	Lost
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Lost

Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Won
No$1.2k @ 88.5¢
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.9¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$31.8k @ 84.7¢
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2.4k @ 1.4¢
Will Marcelo Queiroga win the Governor of Paraíba election?Won
No$7 @ 71.9¢
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?Won
No$3 @ 68.0¢
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?Lost
Yes$93 @ 30.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Lost
No$165 @ 27.5¢
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Won
Yes$58 @ 57.0¢
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?Lost
No$461 @ 48.0¢
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?Won
Yes$94 @ 40.9¢
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$9 @ 5.3¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$94 @ 46.0¢
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Sergio Perez win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 4.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$832 @ 8.1¢
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.7¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$14 @ 16.0¢
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Won
Germany$895 @ 44.1¢
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
No$38 @ 68.0¢
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$9 @ 18.9¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Won
No$12 @ 81.0¢
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Won
Yes$3 @ 1.7¢
Will Pato O'Ward win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?Won
Yes$30 @ 75.1¢
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$11 @ 9.9¢
Will Decibel launch a token by June 30, 2026?Won
No$13 @ 64.0¢
Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Tadeu Leite win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 15.0¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Won
Yes$156 @ 52.0¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$414 @ 0.1¢
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Won
No$98 @ 89.0¢
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Lost
Yes$206 @ 10.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$41 @ 0.2¢
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Lost
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Lost
No$1.1k @ 11.0¢
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Lost
No$2.3k @ 7.4¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Won
No$238 @ 15.0¢
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Lost
Yes$43 @ 85.0¢
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?Won
No$60 @ 60.0¢
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Won
No$22 @ 87.4¢
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Lost
Yes$12 @ 0.7¢
Will Gabriel Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Lost
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Politics	Yes	$59	4.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$53	1.9¢
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$53	1.9¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$51	0.5¢
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$51	0.5¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$51	0.5¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$51	0.5¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$51	0.5¢
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$19	2.1¢
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$19	2.1¢
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$19	2.1¢
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$18	2.1¢
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Crypto	Yes	$18	46.0¢
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$17	1.9¢
Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Politics	Yes	$17	2.4¢

Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Politics
Yes$59 @ 4.0¢
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$53 @ 1.9¢
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$53 @ 1.9¢
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$51 @ 0.5¢
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$51 @ 0.5¢
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$51 @ 0.5¢
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$51 @ 0.5¢
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$51 @ 0.5¢
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$19 @ 2.1¢
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$19 @ 2.1¢
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$19 @ 2.1¢
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$18 @ 2.1¢
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027?Crypto
Yes$18 @ 46.0¢
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics
Yes$17 @ 2.4¢