0xd5cc…dea4

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+22.6pp

ROI

+59%

Win rate

80% @ 57.1¢

Brier

0.164

Resolved

138

Avg size

$379

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	55% (11/20)	-25%	20
Politics	80% (4/5)	+28%	5
Science	25% (1/4)	+10%	4
Geopolitics	100% (4/4)	+64%	4
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+322%	2

Other20 bets
Hit rate
55% (11/20)
ROI
-25%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+28%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
25% (1/4)
ROI
+10%
Geopolitics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+64%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+322%

Track record

60% hit · 21/35

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?	No	$13	1.7¢	Lost
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	$289	44.1¢	Lost
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	$17	1.6¢	Lost
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?	No	$418	83.0¢	Won
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?	No	$192	85.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	$52	46.9¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	$2.2k	88.8¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.5k	23.7¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	7.3¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?	No	$224	80.0¢	Won
Will there be fewer than 2 major space weather events this week?	No	$914	61.3¢	Won
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$215	84.0¢	Won
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	$1	63.0¢	Won
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?	No	$38	76.2¢	Won
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	$12	4.3¢	Lost
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	$3.7k	72.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	4.6¢	Lost
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	$928	84.7¢	Won
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	$40	3.6¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$38.7k	71.9¢	Won
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$780	85.1¢	Won
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	$6	86.3¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$39	5.1¢	Won
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	$384	74.8¢	Won
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	No	$516	49.8¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$132	3.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$26.6k	76.1¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$5.0k	88.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?	No	$44	54.9¢	Won
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	$21	76.2¢	Lost
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?	Yes	$8	8.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$15	10.0¢	Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	Yes	$52	80.0¢	Won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$26	83.9¢	Won
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	$21.2k	69.2¢	Lost

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Lost
No$13 @ 1.7¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$289 @ 44.1¢
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Lost
Yes$17 @ 1.6¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?Won
No$418 @ 83.0¢
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Lost
No$192 @ 85.0¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Lost
No$52 @ 46.9¢
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?Won
Yes$2.2k @ 88.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$2.5k @ 23.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.3¢
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Won
No$224 @ 80.0¢
Will there be fewer than 2 major space weather events this week?Won
No$914 @ 61.3¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
No$215 @ 84.0¢
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5Won
Over$1 @ 63.0¢
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?Won
No$38 @ 76.2¢
Megaquake by June 30?Lost
Yes$12 @ 4.3¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Won
Yes$3.7k @ 72.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$11 @ 4.6¢
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Won
No$928 @ 84.7¢
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Lost
Yes$40 @ 3.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$38.7k @ 71.9¢
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?Won
Yes$780 @ 85.1¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?Won
No$6 @ 86.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Won
Yes$39 @ 5.1¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?Won
No$384 @ 74.8¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?Won
No$516 @ 49.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$132 @ 3.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$26.6k @ 76.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
Yes$5.0k @ 88.2¢
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by April 30, 2026?Won
No$44 @ 54.9¢
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Lost
No$21 @ 76.2¢
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Lost
Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$15 @ 10.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$52 @ 80.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
Yes$26 @ 83.9¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
No$21.2k @ 69.2¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$88.1k	88.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$66.7k	88.9¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Sports	No	$796	31.7¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$88.1k @ 88.0¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$66.7k @ 88.9¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports
No$796 @ 31.7¢