← Smart money
0xd5cc…dea4
ProfitableEdge
+31.7pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
80% @ 48.0¢
Brier
0.269
Resolved
744
Avg size
$484
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 62% (16/26) | +14% | 26 |
| Other | 52% (13/25) | -10% | 25 |
| Geopolitics | 75% (6/8) | -24% | 8 |
| Science | 20% (1/5) | +9% | 5 |
| Sports | 25% (1/4) | -2% | 4 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +322% | 2 |
- Politics26 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (16/26)
- ROI
- +14%
- Other25 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (13/25)
- ROI
- -10%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- -24%
- Science5 bets
- Hit rate
- 20% (1/5)
- ROI
- +9%
- Sports4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -2%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +322%
Track record
54% hit · 38/70- Yes$1.5k @ 31.7¢
- No$13 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$16 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$7 @ 10.0¢
- No$1.5k @ 77.0¢
- No$289 @ 44.1¢
- Yes$17 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$17.7k @ 84.9¢
- Yes$369 @ 69.4¢
- No$418 @ 83.0¢
- No$192 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 25.7¢
- No$345 @ 78.8¢
- No$26.6k @ 76.1¢
- No$52 @ 46.9¢
- Yes$2.2k @ 88.8¢
- No$2.5k @ 23.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.3¢
- No$914 @ 61.3¢
- No$3.8k @ 84.0¢
- No$15 @ 77.0¢
- Over$1 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 88.2¢
- No$44 @ 54.9¢
- No$38 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$12 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 58.3¢
- Yes$6.8k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 4.6¢
- No$7.9k @ 79.0¢
- No$4 @ 12.8¢
- Yes$139.5k @ 86.8¢
- No$21 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$11.7k @ 74.9¢
- No$928 @ 84.7¢
- Yes$40 @ 3.6¢
- No$38.7k @ 71.9¢
- Yes$780 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.0¢
- No$6 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$15 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$39 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$14.2k @ 49.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 80.0¢
- No$465 @ 79.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 75.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 83.9¢
- No$543 @ 34.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $57.1k | 70.3¢ |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | Politics | No | $9.8k | 81.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $9.4k | 70.0¢ |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $1.8k | 88.8¢ |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $941 | 63.1¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? | Politics | No | $706 | 92.6¢ |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Geopolitics | Yes | $2 | 15.0¢ |
- Yes$57.1k @ 70.3¢
- No$9.8k @ 81.0¢
- Yes$9.4k @ 70.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 88.8¢
- Yes$941 @ 63.1¢
- No$706 @ 92.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.0¢