← Market consensus

ScienceActiveends Dec 31, 2026

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

1.7¢

No

98.4¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 86%No 14%

4 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xa81e…03dc	Yes	$585	8.8¢	1.5×	+23%	83%	Sharp
0x4e25…d7a7	No	$111	99.3¢	0.7×	+22%	60%	Sharp
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	$76	16.7¢	0.4×	+22%	60%	Sharp
0xb220…5f71	Yes	$1	1.4¢	0.1×	+22%	73%	Sharp

0xa81e…03dcSharp

Yes$585 @ 8.8¢

Conv: 1.5×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 83%

0x4e25…d7a7Sharp

No$111 @ 99.3¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 60%

0x4e25…d7a7Sharp

Yes$76 @ 16.7¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 60%

0xb220…5f71Sharp

Yes$1 @ 1.4¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 73%