← Smart money
0xd00a…4c29
ProfitableEdge
-8.8pp
ROI
+3%
Win rate
28% @ 37.2¢
Brier
0.098
Resolved
148
Avg size
$8
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 38% (5/13) | +136% | 13 |
| Politics | 0% (0/9) | -100% | 9 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (1/2) | -59% | 2 |
| Sports | 100% (1/1) | +72% | 1 |
- Other13 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (5/13)
- ROI
- +136%
- Politics9 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/9)
- ROI
- -100%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -59%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +72%
Track record
28% hit · 7/25- New York Yankees$1 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
- No$5 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
- No$5 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$40 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$85 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$4 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$201 @ 19.2¢
- No$68 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$34 @ 31.6¢
- No$2 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$59 @ 26.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 49.0¢
- No$2 @ 24.4¢
- No$3 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 42.5¢
- Yes$293 @ 19.1¢
- LGD Gaming$58 @ 19.2¢
- Team WE$119 @ 77.5¢
- Yes$75 @ 12.3¢
- No$29 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$50 @ 11.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$75 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$54 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$32 @ 67.0¢
- No$28 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$26 @ 62.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 81.8¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?GeopoliticsYes$25 @ 46.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 22.7¢
- Yes$19 @ 27.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 22.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 59.9¢
- No$5 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 50.0¢
- No$4 @ 88.0¢
- No$4 @ 91.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 28.0¢
- No$2 @ 93.0¢
- No$1 @ 80.0¢
- Los Angeles FC$1 @ 98.0¢
- No$1 @ 84.0¢