0xcce8…4197

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xcce8b0298325f9ad254cadab211b3279ec4c4197
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.0pp

ROI

+44%

Win rate

91% @ 71.9¢

Brier

0.134

Resolved

Avg size

$66

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	75% (9/12)	+42%	12
Politics	100% (10/10)	+43%	10
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+89%	1

Other12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+42%
Politics10 bets
Hit rate
100% (10/10)
ROI
+43%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+89%

Track record

87% hit · 20/23

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$100	71.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$40	21.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$100	89.0¢	Won
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$40	17.0¢	Won
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$50	85.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$100	52.8¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	54.0¢	Won
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 27 2026?	No	$100	89.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$100	71.0¢	Won
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$20	16.0¢	Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$100	83.0¢	Won
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$180	81.1¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	$50	81.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$100	73.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$100	86.0¢	Won
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 23?	No	$90	83.9¢	Won
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$51	32.3¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	$100	83.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	$100	62.0¢	Won
James Comey arrested by April 30?	No	$50	67.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	$100	86.3¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$100	85.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$100	88.0¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 71.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Won
Yes$40 @ 21.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 89.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
Yes$40 @ 17.0¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Lost
No$50 @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$100 @ 52.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$100 @ 54.0¢
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of April 27 2026?Won
No$100 @ 89.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$100 @ 71.0¢
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 83.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Won
No$180 @ 81.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Won
Yes$50 @ 81.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 73.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$100 @ 86.0¢
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 23?Won
No$90 @ 83.9¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$51 @ 32.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Won
No$100 @ 62.0¢
James Comey arrested by April 30?Lost
No$50 @ 67.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Won
No$100 @ 86.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
No$100 @ 85.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Won
No$100 @ 88.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Politics	No	$300	71.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Politics	No	$300	82.0¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?	—	No	$100	91.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Politics	No	$100	71.7¢
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$100	87.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	—	Yes	$50	35.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$50	14.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$10	13.0¢

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics
No$300 @ 71.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Politics
No$300 @ 82.0¢
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in August?—
No$100 @ 91.0¢
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics
No$100 @ 71.7¢
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?Politics
No$100 @ 87.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?—
Yes$50 @ 35.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
Yes$50 @ 14.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$10 @ 13.0¢