← Smart money
0xbacd…ab35
SharpEdge
+11.5pp
ROI
+13%
Win rate
67% @ 55.7¢
Brier
0.132
Resolved
721
Avg size
$389
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 44% (99/225) | +32% | 225 |
| Other | 42% (22/52) | -18% | 52 |
| Geopolitics | 37% (15/41) | -88% | 41 |
| Sports | 43% (16/37) | -19% | 37 |
| Culture | 70% (7/10) | -41% | 10 |
| Tech | 60% (3/5) | +29% | 5 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics225 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (99/225)
- ROI
- +32%
- Other52 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (22/52)
- ROI
- -18%
- Geopolitics41 bets
- Hit rate
- 37% (15/41)
- ROI
- -88%
- Sports37 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (16/37)
- ROI
- -19%
- Culture10 bets
- Hit rate
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- -41%
- Tech5 bets
- Hit rate
- 60% (3/5)
- ROI
- +29%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
44% hit · 162/372- Patriots$55 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$1.4k @ 0.8¢
- Dolphins$83 @ 14.8¢
- Raiders$12 @ 72.0¢
- No$77 @ 29.3¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 37.9¢
- No$3.2k @ 30.1¢
- Yes$379 @ 28.1¢
- No$363 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$349 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$386 @ 27.4¢
- No$111 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$26 @ 65.9¢
- No$124 @ 56.0¢
- No$87 @ 87.0¢
- No$2.4k @ 36.3¢
- Yes$171.8k @ 82.5¢
- No$78.4k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$9.7k @ 44.4¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
- No$245 @ 53.1¢
- Yes$6.9k @ 43.1¢
- Yes$478 @ 66.9¢
- Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?WonNo$10 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 10.0¢
- Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?WonNo$128 @ 94.1¢
- No$48 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 13.0¢
- No$1.0k @ 93.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$9.8k @ 12.8¢
- No$187 @ 71.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$155 @ 78.7¢
- Yes$12 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 18.0¢
- No$76 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$470 @ 78.3¢
- No$12 @ 23.0¢
- Yes$274 @ 14.3¢
- No$683 @ 98.5¢
- Yes$48 @ 12.0¢
- No$2 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$72 @ 36.0¢
- No$79 @ 39.3¢
- Yes$74 @ 18.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 5.4¢
- Yes$796 @ 33.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$120.5k @ 48.7¢
- No$51.4k @ 79.8¢
- No$35.2k @ 73.8¢
- Yes$34.3k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$27.4k @ 32.0¢
- Yes$25.5k @ 44.7¢
- Yes$23.0k @ 23.2¢
- No$23.0k @ 82.6¢
- No$19.5k @ 98.4¢
- Yes$16.5k @ 4.5¢
- Yes$13.5k @ 2.9¢
- No$12.0k @ 84.0¢
- Yes$10.1k @ 37.4¢
- No$8.9k @ 95.7¢
- Yes$8.8k @ 36.1¢
- Yes$6.9k @ 57.6¢
- No$6.5k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$6.2k @ 39.5¢
- Yes$5.6k @ 16.3¢
- Yes$5.1k @ 19.2¢
- Yes$4.9k @ 30.2¢
- Yes$4.5k @ 14.9¢
- No$4.3k @ 85.8¢
- No$4.3k @ 95.5¢
- Yes$3.2k @ 5.1¢
- No$2.8k @ 38.6¢
- No$2.4k @ 97.6¢
- No$2.4k @ 89.0¢
- No$2.2k @ 63.7¢
- No$2.2k @ 80.3¢