0xa58f…cec8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xa58f84122535fbe42cec75d70e24ba0dd7e7cec8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+7.3pp

ROI

+4%

Win rate

72% @ 64.5¢

Brier

0.176

Resolved

255

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	59% (52/88)	+1%	88
Politics	80% (4/5)	+11%	5
Tech	50% (1/2)	-31%	2

Other88 bets
Hit rate
59% (52/88)
ROI
+1%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
80% (4/5)
ROI
+11%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-31%

Track record

60% hit · 57/95

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	$4	41.0¢	Lost
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	No	$1	13.0¢	Lost
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	78.0¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	JD Gaming	$76	69.4¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs	Team WE	$20	53.5¢	Lost
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	JD Gaming	$69	69.6¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	JD Gaming	$22	72.2¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Team WE	$75	39.1¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	MOUZ	$10	64.0¢	Won
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$23	75.4¢	Won
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	$60	85.0¢	Won
Caldas da Rainha: Anouk Koevermans vs Gabriela Knutson	Anouk Koevermans	$10	25.0¢	Lost
Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score	No	$3	39.0¢	Lost
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies	San Diego Padres	$4	66.0¢	Won
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	$4	45.0¢	Won
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	$2	37.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A	Metizport	$2	52.0¢	Won
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5	Over	$9	53.2¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	$2	33.0¢	Lost
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)	Atlanta Dream	$6	58.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	$24	84.5¢	Won
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	No	$3	87.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	0.9¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?	No	$2	72.0¢	Won
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia Podoroska	Nadia Podoroska	$39	69.1¢	Won
Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions	Nippon Ham Fighters	$5	87.1¢	Won
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5	Under	$3	58.0¢	Lost
Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 172.5	Under	$3	28.0¢	Lost
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 3 Winner	Frites Esports Club	$8	76.6¢	Won
Ljubljana: Noemi Basiletti vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	Ekaterine Gorgodze	$9	18.0¢	Lost
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	$8	57.0¢	Won
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins	New York Yankees	$8	45.5¢	Lost
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?	Yes	$5	61.4¢	Won
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan - Game 1 Winner	Kalmychata	$15	47.9¢	Lost
Lions vs. Bills	Bills	$31	76.6¢	Won
Lions vs. Bills	Lions	$32	31.0¢	Lost
Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 175.5	Under	$1	35.0¢	Lost
Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco Trungelliti	Filip Pieczonka	$10	17.0¢	Lost
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	$4	62.0¢	Lost
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5	Under	$5	56.0¢	Won
Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 0.5	Under	$3	16.9¢	Lost
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$16	74.9¢	Won
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	$6	57.4¢	Lost
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant - Game 4 Winner	The Ruddy Sack	$3	85.0¢	Won
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant - Game 4 Winner	Verdant	$14	73.4¢	Lost
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$11	45.4¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	BakS eSports	$25	68.0¢	Won
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?	Yes	$3	86.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs	FURIA	$4	64.3¢	Won
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5	Under	$2	76.0¢	Won

KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Hanwha EaglesLost
Hanwha Eagles$4 @ 41.0¢
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Lost
No$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$7 @ 78.0¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsWon
JD Gaming$76 @ 69.4¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsLost
Team WE$20 @ 53.5¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerWon
JD Gaming$69 @ 69.6¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerWon
JD Gaming$22 @ 72.2¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerLost
Team WE$75 @ 39.1¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsWon
MOUZ$10 @ 64.0¢
Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$23 @ 75.4¢
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
JD Gaming$60 @ 85.0¢
Caldas da Rainha: Anouk Koevermans vs Gabriela KnutsonLost
Anouk Koevermans$10 @ 25.0¢
Beşiktaş JK vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$3 @ 39.0¢
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesWon
San Diego Padres$4 @ 66.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas RangersWon
Texas Rangers$4 @ 45.0¢
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerLost
Nemiga Gaming$2 @ 37.0¢
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group AWon
Metizport$2 @ 52.0¢
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Lost
Over$9 @ 53.2¢
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLost
Natus Vincere$2 @ 33.0¢
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-15.5)Won
Atlanta Dream$6 @ 58.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerWon
FURIA$24 @ 84.5¢
Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Won
No$3 @ 87.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$4 @ 0.9¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.5 and 41.0 million views on day 5?Won
No$2 @ 72.0¢
Sao Paulo Open: Eva Lys vs Nadia PodoroskaWon
Nadia Podoroska$39 @ 69.1¢
Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu LionsWon
Nippon Ham Fighters$5 @ 87.1¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Lost
Under$3 @ 58.0¢
Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 172.5Lost
Under$3 @ 28.0¢
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 3 WinnerWon
Frites Esports Club$8 @ 76.6¢
Ljubljana: Noemi Basiletti vs Ekaterine GorgodzeLost
Ekaterine Gorgodze$9 @ 18.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota TwinsWon
Minnesota Twins$8 @ 57.0¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota TwinsLost
New York Yankees$8 @ 45.5¢
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40.0 and 40.5 million views on day 5?Won
Yes$5 @ 61.4¢
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan - Game 1 WinnerLost
Kalmychata$15 @ 47.9¢
Lions vs. BillsWon
Bills$31 @ 76.6¢
Lions vs. BillsLost
Lions$32 @ 31.0¢
Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire: O/U 175.5Lost
Under$1 @ 35.0¢
Szczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiLost
Filip Pieczonka$10 @ 17.0¢
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis CardinalsLost
St. Louis Cardinals$4 @ 62.0¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Won
Under$5 @ 56.0¢
Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 0.5Lost
Under$3 @ 16.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWon
Invictus Gaming$16 @ 74.9¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLost
Top Esports$6 @ 57.4¢
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant - Game 4 WinnerWon
The Ruddy Sack$3 @ 85.0¢
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant - Game 4 WinnerLost
Verdant$14 @ 73.4¢
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$11 @ 45.4¢
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageWon
BakS eSports$25 @ 68.0¢
Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware?Won
Yes$3 @ 86.0¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsWon
FURIA$4 @ 64.3¢
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Won
Under$2 @ 76.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	Yes	$591	88.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$524	88.2¢
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	—	Yes	$357	88.7¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Culture	Yes	$333	74.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Politics	No	$303	63.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$261	82.0¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	—	No	$248	91.8¢
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$246	95.9¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$239	97.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	—	No	$229	97.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	—	No	$215	85.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Politics	No	$210	90.4¢
UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)	—	Casey O'Neill	$202	68.8¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$199	92.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	—	Yes	$197	95.5¢
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?	—	No	$195	95.3¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Politics	No	$191	77.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Politics	No	$182	85.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	—	No	$176	98.4¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$174	85.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	—	Yes	$153	62.5¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	Politics	No	$149	86.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Politics	Yes	$149	83.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	—	No	$145	97.9¢
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	—	No	$145	74.9¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?	—	Over	$138	80.9¢
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Politics	No	$138	74.5¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	—	No	$130	55.2¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Politics	No	$129	86.0¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Politics	No	$128	84.5¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?—
Yes$591 @ 88.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$524 @ 88.2¢
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?—
Yes$357 @ 88.7¢
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Culture
Yes$333 @ 74.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics
No$303 @ 63.5¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$261 @ 82.0¢
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?—
No$248 @ 91.8¢
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?—
No$246 @ 95.9¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$239 @ 97.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?—
No$229 @ 97.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?—
No$215 @ 85.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics
No$210 @ 90.4¢
UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)—
Casey O'Neill$202 @ 68.8¢
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$199 @ 92.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?—
Yes$197 @ 95.5¢
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?—
No$195 @ 95.3¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
No$191 @ 77.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
No$182 @ 85.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?—
No$176 @ 98.4¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
No$174 @ 85.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?—
Yes$153 @ 62.5¢
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics
No$149 @ 86.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
Yes$149 @ 83.6¢
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?—
No$145 @ 97.9¢
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?—
No$145 @ 74.9¢
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?—
Over$138 @ 80.9¢
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
No$138 @ 74.5¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?—
No$130 @ 55.2¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Politics
No$129 @ 86.0¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics
No$128 @ 84.5¢