← Smart money
0x9ff0…8dab
ProfitableEdge
+28.0pp
ROI
+26%
Win rate
79% @ 51.1¢
Brier
0.222
Resolved
244
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 63% (10/16) | +14% | 16 |
| Geopolitics | 69% (11/16) | -32% | 16 |
| Science | 0% (0/4) | -100% | 4 |
| Other | 25% (1/4) | -38% | 4 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +346% | 2 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 63% (10/16)
- ROI
- +14%
- Geopolitics16 bets
- Hit rate
- 69% (11/16)
- ROI
- -32%
- Science4 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/4)
- ROI
- -100%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -38%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +346%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
53% hit · 23/43- No$9 @ 43.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
- No$4 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 31.7¢
- No$8 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$18 @ 15.5¢
- Yes$100 @ 89.3¢
- No$4 @ 80.0¢
- No$14 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
- No$1 @ 22.0¢
- No$7 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$7 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 77.2¢
- Yes$15 @ 70.2¢
- No$41 @ 79.0¢
- Yes$217 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$25 @ 75.8¢
- Yes$19 @ 19.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 15.0¢
- No$4 @ 84.5¢
- No$4 @ 79.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 55.5¢
- No$4 @ 35.5¢
- No$149 @ 61.8¢
- Yes$27 @ 57.8¢
- Conor McGregor$9 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$157 @ 86.3¢
- No$5 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 30.2¢
- Yes$2 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 99.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 97.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 23.3¢
- Yes$7 @ 96.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 93.7¢
- Yes$21 @ 97.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $291 | 71.8¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Politics | Yes | $51 | 70.0¢ |
- Yes$291 @ 71.8¢
- Yes$51 @ 70.0¢