0x9ff0…8dab

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x9ff03ec541f69848004ef36aff186a4fbb4d8dab
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+19.9pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

74% @ 54.5¢

Brier

0.173

Resolved

113

Avg size

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	75% (9/12)	+20%	12
Geopolitics	60% (3/5)	-70%	5
Science	0% (0/4)	-100%	4
Other	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+346%	2
Sports	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics12 bets
Hit rate
75% (9/12)
ROI
+20%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
60% (3/5)
ROI
-70%
Science4 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%
Other3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+346%
Sports1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 13/27

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	No	$9	43.2¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?	Yes	$10	37.0¢	Lost
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$9	31.7¢	Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$8	78.0¢	Lost
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	$16	19.8¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	$18	15.5¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	$100	89.3¢	Won
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	$4	80.0¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$14	19.5¢	Won
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.8¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?	No	$1	22.0¢	Lost
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	$3	8.9¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?	Yes	$7	60.0¢	Won
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$41	77.2¢	Lost
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$41	79.0¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$217	87.4¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$25	75.8¢	Won
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	$19	19.8¢	Lost
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?	No	$4	84.5¢	Won
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	$4	79.2¢	Won
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	No	$4	35.5¢	Lost
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	$149	61.8¢	Won
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)	Conor McGregor	$9	33.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$157	86.3¢	Won
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	No	$5	84.0¢	Won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$2	44.0¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?	Yes	$7	30.2¢	Won

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Won
No$9 @ 43.2¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Lost
Yes$10 @ 37.0¢
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$9 @ 31.7¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$8 @ 78.0¢
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Lost
Yes$16 @ 19.8¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Lost
Yes$18 @ 15.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Won
Yes$100 @ 89.3¢
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?Won
No$4 @ 80.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$14 @ 19.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 10.8¢
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?Lost
No$1 @ 22.0¢
Megaquake by June 30?Lost
Yes$3 @ 8.9¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Won
Yes$7 @ 60.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
Yes$41 @ 77.2¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Lost
No$41 @ 79.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$217 @ 87.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$25 @ 75.8¢
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Lost
Yes$19 @ 19.8¢
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?Won
No$4 @ 84.5¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Won
No$4 @ 79.2¢
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Lost
No$4 @ 35.5¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Won
No$149 @ 61.8¢
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Lost
Conor McGregor$9 @ 33.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
Yes$157 @ 86.3¢
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?Won
No$5 @ 84.0¢
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?Won
Yes$7 @ 30.2¢

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