0x97ea…3363

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x97ead83eb0e6b7f142e63284791882f05ddf3363
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-2.9pp

ROI

+6%

Win rate

47% @ 50.1¢

Brier

0.192

Resolved

3139

Avg size

$192

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	61% (250/410)	+13%	410
Politics	43% (36/83)	-5%	83
Sports	60% (27/45)	-11%	45
Tech	44% (18/41)	-10%	41
Geopolitics	53% (10/19)	+20%	19
Science	29% (2/7)	-37%	7
Culture	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Crypto	50% (1/2)	+73%	2
Economy	100% (1/1)	+75%	1

Other410 bets
Hit rate
61% (250/410)
ROI
+13%
Politics83 bets
Hit rate
43% (36/83)
ROI
-5%
Sports45 bets
Hit rate
60% (27/45)
ROI
-11%
Tech41 bets
Hit rate
44% (18/41)
ROI
-10%
Geopolitics19 bets
Hit rate
53% (10/19)
ROI
+20%
Science7 bets
Hit rate
29% (2/7)
ROI
-37%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Crypto2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+73%
Economy1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+75%

Track record

57% hit · 345/610

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?	Yes	$349	99.8¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 29?	Yes	$175	98.7¢	Won
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	Yes	$5.5k	89.7¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	$425	85.0¢	Won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner	Movistar KOI	$837	53.5¢	Lost
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	$3.8k	85.2¢	Won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	$1.2k	83.3¢	Won
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	$810	81.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$1.9k	45.9¢	Lost
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	$170	30.4¢	Won
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?	Yes	$344	57.5¢	Won
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	$345	79.1¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$3.4k	62.1¢	Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	$565	78.1¢	Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$982	83.0¢	Won
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	$831	85.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$2.9k	86.3¢	Won
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	$478	60.3¢	Lost
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	$2.3k	29.2¢	Won
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	Nongshim Red Force	$409	11.0¢	Lost
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$595	57.0¢	Won
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?	No	$1.2k	86.7¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$2.3k	77.3¢	Won
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 15?	No	$54	44.2¢	Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$2.1k	35.0¢	Won
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?	Yes	$236	59.0¢	Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?	No	$2.2k	85.4¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$3.6k	71.0¢	Won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	$900	45.0¢	Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	$2.6k	77.7¢	Won
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$1.1k	10.0¢	Lost
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	$176	88.4¢	Lost
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$258	5.2¢	Lost
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	Movistar KOI	$96	76.0¢	Won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	$731	71.0¢	Won
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$10.1k	77.9¢	Won
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$2.9k	81.9¢	Won
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	$45	89.0¢	Won
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$358	44.4¢	Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?	No	$69	52.3¢	Lost
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	$495	45.0¢	Won
Will Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19)	No	$16	75.0¢	Won
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner	Dark Passage	$1	6.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$880	88.0¢	Won
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	No	$790	79.0¢	Lost
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner	GIANTX	$1.1k	81.0¢	Won
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner	Shifters	$100	10.0¢	Lost
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	$1.2k	50.8¢	Lost
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	71.8¢	Won
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	$53	23.0¢	Lost

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by October 31?Won
Yes$349 @ 99.8¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 29?Won
Yes$175 @ 98.7¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Won
Yes$5.5k @ 89.7¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerWon
Karmine Corp$425 @ 85.0¢
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerLost
Movistar KOI$837 @ 53.5¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerWon
Hanwha Life Esports$3.8k @ 85.2¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 WinnerWon
Vitality$1.2k @ 83.3¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerWon
Vitality$810 @ 81.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
Yes$1.9k @ 45.9¢
Will the Patek Index hit $107,000 (HIGH) by April 30?Won
Yes$170 @ 30.4¢
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Won
Yes$344 @ 57.5¢
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Won
Yes$345 @ 79.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$3.4k @ 62.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Lost
Yes$565 @ 78.1¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Won
No$982 @ 83.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Won
No$831 @ 85.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Won
Yes$2.9k @ 86.3¢
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 WinnerLost
Kiwoom DRX Challengers$478 @ 60.3¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerWon
HANJIN BRION$2.3k @ 29.2¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerLost
Nongshim Red Force$409 @ 11.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$595 @ 57.0¢
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?Won
No$1.2k @ 86.7¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Won
Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 15?Lost
No$54 @ 44.2¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Won
Yes$2.1k @ 35.0¢
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?Lost
Yes$236 @ 59.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Won
No$2.2k @ 85.4¢
Will France win on 2026-06-26?Won
Yes$3.6k @ 71.0¢
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerLost
BetBoom Team$900 @ 45.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Won
No$2.6k @ 77.7¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 10.0¢
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Lost
Yes$176 @ 88.4¢
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? Lost
Yes$258 @ 5.2¢
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerWon
Movistar KOI$96 @ 76.0¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerWon
G2 Esports$731 @ 71.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Won
Yes$10.1k @ 77.9¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Won
No$2.9k @ 81.9¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Won
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$358 @ 44.4¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?Lost
No$69 @ 52.3¢
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Won
Ciryl Gane$495 @ 45.0¢
Will Trump say "AOC" this week? (April 19)Won
No$16 @ 75.0¢
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerLost
Dark Passage$1 @ 6.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Won
No$880 @ 88.0¢
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?Lost
No$790 @ 79.0¢
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerWon
GIANTX$1.1k @ 81.0¢
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerLost
Shifters$100 @ 10.0¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerLost
Spirit$1.2k @ 50.8¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Won
Yes$1.3k @ 71.8¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?Lost
No$53 @ 23.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$6.5k	65.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Politics	No	$5.2k	78.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$5.0k	54.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$4.8k	78.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$3.9k	86.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$3.5k	35.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$3.4k	55.0¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Science	No	$2.6k	25.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$2.6k	87.0¢
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$2.5k	75.5¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Tech	No	$2.2k	66.0¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Science	No	$2.2k	85.3¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	Culture	Yes	$2.1k	71.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	Yes	$1.7k	73.4¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.7k	37.1¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$1.5k	49.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	No	$1.4k	93.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	14.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	59.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Politics	Yes	$1.1k	36.5¢
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?	Business	No	$944	85.0¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$900	18.5¢
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$850	85.0¢
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?	Tech	No	$850	85.0¢
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Sports	Yes	$840	30.9¢
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Sports	Yes	$749	25.0¢
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Geopolitics	No	$618	65.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Geopolitics	Yes	$552	4.9¢
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?	Tech	No	$471	95.5¢
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Politics	No	$467	70.1¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$6.5k @ 65.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics
No$5.2k @ 78.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Politics
Yes$5.0k @ 54.3¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$4.8k @ 78.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Politics
Yes$3.9k @ 86.8¢
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$3.5k @ 35.0¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics
Yes$3.4k @ 55.0¢
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
No$2.6k @ 25.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics
Yes$2.6k @ 87.0¢
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
No$2.5k @ 75.5¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech
No$2.2k @ 66.0¢
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Science
No$2.2k @ 85.3¢
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Culture
Yes$2.1k @ 71.7¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
Yes$1.7k @ 73.4¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.7k @ 37.1¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics
Yes$1.5k @ 49.3¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
No$1.4k @ 93.1¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 14.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 59.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics
Yes$1.1k @ 36.5¢
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of October 2026?Business
No$944 @ 85.0¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
Yes$900 @ 18.5¢
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?Tech
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
Yes$840 @ 30.9¢
Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Sports
Yes$749 @ 25.0¢
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Geopolitics
No$618 @ 65.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Geopolitics
Yes$552 @ 4.9¢
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Tech
No$471 @ 95.5¢
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
No$467 @ 70.1¢