← Smart money
0x95ba…3a5c
SharpEdge
+7.2pp
ROI
+36%
Win rate
46% @ 38.9¢
Brier
0.220
Resolved
258
Avg size
$27
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 45% (18/40) | +33% | 40 |
| Other | 50% (13/26) | +11% | 26 |
- Politics40 bets
- Hit rate
- 45% (18/40)
- ROI
- +33%
- Other26 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (13/26)
- ROI
- +11%
Track record
47% hit · 31/66- No$68 @ 98.8¢
- No$299 @ 96.3¢
- Yes$180 @ 79.4¢
- Yes$528 @ 90.4¢
- No$17 @ 62.6¢
- No$51 @ 1.7¢
- No$171 @ 11.2¢
- Yes$46 @ 85.9¢
- Yes$14 @ 22.7¢
- No$1.8k @ 83.7¢
- No$74 @ 72.6¢
- No$2 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$18 @ 45.0¢
- No$120 @ 60.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 36.0¢
- No$2 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$294 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$46 @ 83.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.9¢
- No$84 @ 76.2¢
- Yes$211 @ 57.5¢
- No$86 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 13.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$24 @ 62.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
- Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?WonYes$14 @ 60.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$57 @ 56.0¢
- No$20 @ 65.0¢
- Yes$539 @ 67.1¢
- Yes$16 @ 5.8¢
- Yes$50 @ 25.0¢
- No$6 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$45 @ 36.0¢
- No$154 @ 77.2¢
- No$67 @ 82.8¢
- Yes$58 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$126 @ 81.3¢
- Yes$50 @ 37.7¢
- Yes$6 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$187 @ 51.3¢
- No$10 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$124 @ 53.1¢
- No$253 @ 59.9¢
- Yes$343 @ 30.6¢
- Yes$293 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 32.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | Politics | No | $440 | 72.2¢ |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? | Politics | Yes | $85 | 39.0¢ |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? | Politics | Yes | $85 | 45.8¢ |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? | Tech | Yes | $40 | 40.0¢ |
- No$440 @ 72.2¢
- Yes$85 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 45.8¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢