← Market consensus
PoliticsActiveends May 31, 2026

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

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Yes

0.1¢

No

100.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 4 tracked sharps

Strong
Yes 83%No 17%
5 shown ·
0x7dcf…a7bdProfitable
Yes$35 @ 12.5¢
Conv
3.7×
ROI
+65%
Win%
76%
Yes$15 @ 15.0¢
Conv
2.6×
ROI
+31%
Win%
30%
No$6 @ 78.6¢
Conv
0.2×
ROI
+18%
Win%
78%
0xd1a9…d486Profitable
No$5 @ 50.0¢
Conv
1.1×
ROI
+42%
Win%
53%
0xd1a9…d486Profitable
Yes$1 @ 12.5¢
Conv
0.3×
ROI
+42%
Win%
53%