0x90f7…2501

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other643 bets

  Hit rate

  56% (363/643)

  ROI

  +12%

• Politics93 bets

  Hit rate

  59% (55/93)

  ROI

  +9%

• Geopolitics30 bets

  Hit rate

  73% (22/30)

  ROI

  +24%

• Culture8 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (8/8)

  ROI

  +78%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  63% (5/8)

  ROI

  +38%

• Tech6 bets

  Hit rate

  17% (1/6)

  ROI

  +155%

• Sports6 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (3/6)

  ROI

  -69%

• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?Won
  Yes$1.0k @ 34.0¢
• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$266 @ 88.4¢
• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$142 @ 81.3¢
• Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?Won
  No$22 @ 89.0¢
• Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Won
  No$147 @ 63.8¢
• Canada recession before 2027?Lost
  No$13 @ 30.0¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$35 @ 8.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$246 @ 36.8¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$1.3k @ 78.4¢
• Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?Lost
  No$113 @ 69.3¢
• Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Lost
  No$16 @ 81.0¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
  No$575 @ 78.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$275 @ 86.2¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 21.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$427 @ 17.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$43 @ 87.5¢
• Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 16.0¢
• U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Lost
  No$2 @ 7.4¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
  Yes$188 @ 47.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Lost
  No$212 @ 60.5¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Lost
  Yes$63 @ 19.1¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Won
  No$159 @ 86.2¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
  No$178 @ 41.6¢
• Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Won
  Yes$46 @ 48.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$43 @ 12.3¢
• Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Won
  No$284 @ 86.0¢
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$532 @ 86.3¢
• Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Won
  No$82 @ 71.0¢
• OpenAI browser by September 30?Won
  No$24 @ 79.0¢
• Iran strike on Qatar today?Lost
  No$23 @ 57.5¢
• US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 3.6¢
• Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?Lost
  No$147 @ 39.2¢
• Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Won
  No$77 @ 18.6¢
• Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 80.0¢
• Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Lost
  No$47 @ 12.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
  No$236 @ 17.4¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$902 @ 85.1¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$975 @ 69.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$481 @ 84.4¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$840 @ 84.0¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
• S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Won
  Yes$217 @ 65.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$278 @ 18.2¢
• Meek Mill gets a16z funding in 2025?Won
  No$39 @ 80.0¢
• India strike on Pakistan before August?Won
  No$27 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$9.7k @ 29.9¢
• Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Lost
  No$52 @ 7.4¢
• Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?Won
  No$102 @ 76.5¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Won
  No$156 @ 74.0¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 27.0¢

Current positions

• Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics
  No$2.9k @ 74.4¢
• Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$2.1k @ 69.6¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
  Yes$1.7k @ 54.1¢
• Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.3k @ 97.2¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$936 @ 81.4¢
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$827 @ 85.9¢
• Will Trump pardon Julian Assange before 2027?Politics
  No$728 @ 95.5¢
• Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?Politics
  No$594 @ 77.7¢
• Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Politics
  No$583 @ 78.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$579 @ 29.0¢
• Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Tech
  No$525 @ 96.9¢
• Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
  No$503 @ 89.5¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech
  No$455 @ 91.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027?Politics
  No$371 @ 88.2¢
• Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$338 @ 94.0¢
• US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Politics
  No$330 @ 76.6¢
• Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics
  No$297 @ 90.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?Politics
  No$291 @ 95.0¢
• Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Politics
  No$246 @ 68.2¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics
  Yes$231 @ 46.1¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  Yes$215 @ 43.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?Politics
  No$207 @ 91.9¢
• Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz before 2027?Politics
  No$190 @ 83.7¢
• Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?Politics
  No$178 @ 91.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
  No$117 @ 90.4¢
• Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$112 @ 51.4¢
• Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics
  No$110 @ 81.8¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$98 @ 87.1¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics
  Yes$96 @ 84.1¢