0x90f7…2501

Specialization by sphere

• Other625 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (359/625)

  ROI

  +13%

• Politics77 bets

  Hit rate

  53% (41/77)

  ROI

  +6%

• Geopolitics20 bets

  Hit rate

  90% (18/20)

  ROI

  +30%

• Culture8 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (8/8)

  ROI

  +78%

• Crypto7 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (4/7)

  ROI

  +39%

• Tech4 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/4)

  ROI

  -100%

• Sports4 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (2/4)

  ROI

  -99%

• Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Won
  No$266 @ 88.4¢
• Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Won
  No$142 @ 81.3¢
• Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?Won
  No$22 @ 89.0¢
• Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?Won
  No$147 @ 63.8¢
• Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Lost
  No$35 @ 8.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Lost
  Yes$246 @ 36.8¢
• Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Won
  No$1.3k @ 78.4¢
• Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?Lost
  No$113 @ 69.3¢
• Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?Lost
  No$16 @ 81.0¢
• Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Won
  No$575 @ 78.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Won
  No$275 @ 86.2¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Lost
  Yes$48 @ 21.0¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$427 @ 17.0¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Won
  No$43 @ 87.5¢
• Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Lost
  Yes$30 @ 16.0¢
• U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Lost
  No$2 @ 7.4¢
• Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Lost
  Yes$188 @ 47.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?Lost
  No$212 @ 60.5¢
• Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Lost
  Yes$63 @ 19.1¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Won
  No$159 @ 86.2¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Won
  No$178 @ 41.6¢
• Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Won
  Yes$46 @ 48.2¢
• US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
  Yes$43 @ 12.3¢
• Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Won
  No$284 @ 86.0¢
• Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$532 @ 86.3¢
• Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Won
  No$82 @ 71.0¢
• OpenAI browser by September 30?Won
  No$24 @ 79.0¢
• Iran strike on Qatar today?Lost
  No$23 @ 57.5¢
• US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Lost
  Yes$36 @ 3.6¢
• Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $100k in 2025?Lost
  No$147 @ 39.2¢
• Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Won
  No$77 @ 18.6¢
• Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Lost
  Yes$24 @ 80.0¢
• Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Lost
  No$47 @ 12.0¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
  No$236 @ 17.4¢
• Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
  Yes$902 @ 85.1¢
• Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Won
  No$975 @ 69.7¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Won
  No$481 @ 84.4¢
• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Won
  No$840 @ 84.0¢
• Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Lost
  Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
• S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Won
  Yes$217 @ 65.0¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$278 @ 18.2¢
• Meek Mill gets a16z funding in 2025?Won
  No$39 @ 80.0¢
• India strike on Pakistan before August?Won
  No$27 @ 89.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$9.7k @ 29.9¢
• Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?Lost
  No$52 @ 7.4¢
• Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?Won
  No$102 @ 76.5¢
• Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Lost
  No$72 @ 73.1¢
• Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 7.4¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$63 @ 62.8¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Lost
  Yes$87 @ 15.5¢

Current positions

• Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?Politics
  No$3.1k @ 74.4¢
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1.7k @ 85.9¢
• Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?Tech
  No$728 @ 97.2¢
• Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Crypto
  No$622 @ 53.0¢
• Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics
  No$556 @ 69.2¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$508 @ 92.5¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  No$505 @ 94.4¢
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$309 @ 87.0¢
• Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics
  No$297 @ 90.0¢
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics
  Yes$280 @ 14.0¢
• Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Politics
  No$277 @ 83.5¢
• Another US debt downgrade before 2027?Politics
  No$246 @ 68.2¢
• Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
  Yes$245 @ 38.6¢
• Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics
  No$181 @ 90.3¢
• Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics
  No$180 @ 74.9¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$175 @ 84.0¢
• Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$168 @ 84.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?Politics
  No$162 @ 71.1¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$156 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027?Politics
  No$132 @ 78.0¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$126 @ 84.3¢
• No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  Yes$124 @ 63.3¢
• Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Geopolitics
  No$122 @ 66.0¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics
  Yes$114 @ 37.0¢
• Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Politics
  No$110 @ 81.8¢
• Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Geopolitics
  No$110 @ 93.2¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$98 @ 87.1¢
• Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?Politics
  No$98 @ 63.4¢
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech
  No$92 @ 92.0¢
• Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics
  Yes$76 @ 76.0¢