0x7b02…4991

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7b02b2bac2a30ed5e40b7094e734f4c3dc2a4991
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+14.9pp

ROI

+18%

Win rate

47% @ 32.1¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

4777

Avg size

$1.2k

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	18% (6/34)	+42%	34
Politics	38% (8/21)	+11%	21
Tech	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Sports	67% (2/3)	-4%	3
Economy	100% (2/2)	+58%	2
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+14%	1

Other34 bets
Hit rate
18% (6/34)
ROI
+42%
Politics21 bets
Hit rate
38% (8/21)
ROI
+11%
Tech3 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Sports3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-4%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+58%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%

Track record

30% hit · 19/64

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$12.6k	20.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.5k	12.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$17.8k	71.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$115.1k	29.8¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2.8k	14.1¢	Lost
Will Solana reach $90 on March 11?	Yes	$15	14.9¢	Lost
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$24.5k	49.0¢	Lost
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	$114	5.5¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	$5.3k	2.1¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$5.8k	87.4¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7.4k	0.4¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10.7k	0.5¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$10.2k	4.7¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	$5.7k	38.0¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$194	5.4¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$2.2k	84.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$6.8k	4.3¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$1.6k	14.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	$64.1k	25.1¢	Lost
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$11	13.3¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	$52.4k	40.8¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$1.8k	6.1¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$14.3k	79.5¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$32.8k	13.2¢	Lost
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$2.1k	74.0¢	Won
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	$36	13.0¢	Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	$820	51.7¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$71.5k	36.7¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	No	$51.8k	25.1¢	Lost
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$105.4k	25.1¢	Won
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	$4.1k	80.0¢	Won
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	Yes	$5.2k	3.5¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	$6.6k	34.2¢	Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$22.3k	18.7¢	Won
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	$296.2k	63.1¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$215.1k	50.7¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$337.9k	56.3¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$288.2k	13.2¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$823.1k	73.4¢	Won
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$206	3.1¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$21.0k	11.4¢	Lost
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$199.6k	69.2¢	Won
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$5.7k	11.0¢	Lost
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	Team Liquid	$60.4k	37.8¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$1301.7k	66.1¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$303.3k	48.9¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2.0k	1.5¢	Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$838.4k	77.7¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$133.0k	10.6¢	Lost
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	$8.9k	68.3¢	Won

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Lost
Yes$12.6k @ 20.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.5k @ 12.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$17.8k @ 71.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$115.1k @ 29.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Lost
Yes$2.8k @ 14.1¢
Will Solana reach $90 on March 11?Lost
Yes$15 @ 14.9¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$24.5k @ 49.0¢
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Lost
No$114 @ 5.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Lost
No$5.3k @ 2.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Won
No$5.8k @ 87.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$7.4k @ 0.4¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$10.7k @ 0.5¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Lost
No$10.2k @ 4.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Won
Yes$5.7k @ 38.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$194 @ 5.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$2.2k @ 84.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$6.8k @ 4.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Lost
No$1.6k @ 14.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Lost
Yes$64.1k @ 25.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Lost
No$11 @ 13.3¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Lost
No$52.4k @ 40.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Lost
No$1.8k @ 6.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Won
Yes$14.3k @ 79.5¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
No$32.8k @ 13.2¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Won
No$2.1k @ 74.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Lost
No$36 @ 13.0¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Lost
No$820 @ 51.7¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$71.5k @ 36.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Lost
No$51.8k @ 25.1¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Won
Yes$105.4k @ 25.1¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Won
Yes$4.1k @ 80.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Lost
Yes$5.2k @ 3.5¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Lost
No$6.6k @ 34.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Won
Yes$22.3k @ 18.7¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Won
Yes$296.2k @ 63.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
No$215.1k @ 50.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$337.9k @ 56.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
No$288.2k @ 13.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$823.1k @ 73.4¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Lost
Yes$206 @ 3.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$21.0k @ 11.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Won
No$199.6k @ 69.2¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Lost
Yes$5.7k @ 11.0¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsLost
Team Liquid$60.4k @ 37.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Won
No$1301.7k @ 66.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$303.3k @ 48.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 1.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Won
No$838.4k @ 77.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$133.0k @ 10.6¢
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
No$8.9k @ 68.3¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$200.0k	50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	No	$200.0k	50.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$52.1k	62.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	No	$28.4k	43.6¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	No	$26.0k	14.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$18.0k	35.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$15.2k	85.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	No	$14.6k	8.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$12.5k	20.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$3.8k	8.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$2.7k	5.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$1.7k	80.0¢

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$200.0k @ 50.0¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
No$200.0k @ 50.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$52.1k @ 62.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
No$28.4k @ 43.6¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
No$26.0k @ 14.2¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$18.0k @ 35.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$15.2k @ 85.3¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
No$14.6k @ 8.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$12.5k @ 20.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$3.8k @ 8.9¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$2.7k @ 5.0¢
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy
Yes$1.7k @ 80.0¢