0x7a3d…90e6

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other22 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (11/22)

  ROI

  -12%

• Politics7 bets

  Hit rate

  86% (6/7)

  ROI

  +116%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +13%

• Crypto2 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (2/2)

  ROI

  +132%

• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.0k @ 80.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Won
  No$34 @ 58.0¢
• US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Lost
  Yes$723 @ 9.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$60 @ 85.0¢
• Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Lost
  No$343 @ 22.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Won
  No$71 @ 71.0¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.6k @ 43.1¢
• US strikes Iraq by February 28?Won
  Yes$586 @ 25.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$21 @ 87.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$60 @ 89.5¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Lost
  No$87 @ 17.3¢
• Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Won
  Yes$1.9k @ 62.3¢
• Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Won
  No$9 @ 86.0¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Lost
  No$69 @ 69.0¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Lost
  No$1.1k @ 22.9¢
• Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
• Will Trump visit China by May 15?Lost
  No$28 @ 5.0¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
• Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  Yes$266 @ 87.4¢
• Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
• Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Lost
  No$1.7k @ 19.5¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$1.1k @ 32.4¢
• Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Lost
  No$5 @ 0.1¢
• Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Won
  Yes$380 @ 61.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
  Yes$6 @ 40.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Lost
  No$1 @ 29.0¢
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Won
  Yes$22 @ 74.5¢
• Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Lost
  No$154 @ 51.2¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$9 @ 23.5¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Won
  No$74 @ 44.7¢
• Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Won
  $80k$6 @ 20.0¢
• Nothing Ever Happens: MarchWon
  Nothing$92 @ 45.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Won
  No$129 @ 86.0¢

Current positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?—
  No$231 @ 77.0¢
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?—
  No$212 @ 92.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?—
  No$168 @ 84.0¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$96 @ 95.8¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics
  No$85 @ 85.0¢
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?—
  Yes$77 @ 51.0¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$56 @ 94.0¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$48 @ 95.0¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$46 @ 92.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?—
  Yes$43 @ 43.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?—
  Yes$33 @ 89.9¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
  No$28 @ 70.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$18 @ 43.0¢
• Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics
  No$17 @ 85.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$11 @ 74.0¢