← Smart money
0x7a3d…90e6
SharpEdge
+11.6pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
54% @ 42.8¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
204
Avg size
$57
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (11/22) | -12% | 22 |
| Politics | 83% (5/6) | +116% | 6 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (2/2) | +13% | 2 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +132% | 2 |
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (11/22)
- ROI
- -12%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +116%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +13%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +132%
Track record
63% hit · 20/32- No$1.0k @ 80.0¢
- No$34 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$723 @ 9.8¢
- No$60 @ 85.0¢
- No$343 @ 22.0¢
- No$71 @ 71.0¢
- No$1.6k @ 43.1¢
- Yes$586 @ 25.6¢
- No$21 @ 87.0¢
- No$60 @ 89.5¢
- No$87 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 62.3¢
- No$69 @ 69.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 22.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
- No$28 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$266 @ 87.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- No$1.7k @ 19.5¢
- No$1.1k @ 32.4¢
- No$5 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$380 @ 61.4¢
- Yes$6 @ 40.0¢
- No$1 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 74.5¢
- No$154 @ 51.2¢
- Yes$9 @ 23.5¢
- No$74 @ 44.7¢
- $80k$6 @ 20.0¢
- Nothing$92 @ 45.9¢
- No$129 @ 86.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Politics | No | $429 | 43.1¢ |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | Politics | No | $195 | 70.0¢ |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Geopolitics | No | $164 | 82.0¢ |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Geopolitics | No | $140 | 14.0¢ |
- No$429 @ 43.1¢
- No$195 @ 70.0¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?GeopoliticsNo$140 @ 14.0¢