0x72f7…92f7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x72f7b4aa5acaff9629917cf4ec34620a41c492f7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.5pp

ROI

+8%

Win rate

44% @ 35.7¢

Brier

0.171

Resolved

4003

Avg size

$75

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	38% (53/138)	+15%	138
Politics	30% (22/73)	+20%	73
Sports	32% (21/65)	-17%	65
Geopolitics	18% (3/17)	-26%	17
Economy	50% (2/4)	-10%	4
Culture	50% (1/2)	-66%	2
Science	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+136%	1

Other138 bets
Hit rate
38% (53/138)
ROI
+15%
Politics73 bets
Hit rate
30% (22/73)
ROI
+20%
Sports65 bets
Hit rate
32% (21/65)
ROI
-17%
Geopolitics17 bets
Hit rate
18% (3/17)
ROI
-26%
Economy4 bets
Hit rate
50% (2/4)
ROI
-10%
Culture2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
-66%
Science1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+136%

Track record

34% hit · 103/301

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$252	31.5¢	Lost
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	$584	35.3¢	Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$4	2.1¢	Lost
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?	Yes	$47	10.5¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.7k	75.0¢	Won
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$404	24.8¢	Lost
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	$76	3.3¢	Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?	No	$1.4k	57.9¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$210	70.0¢	Won
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?	Yes	$396	66.0¢	Lost
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	Yes	$33	20.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	39.0¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$6.5k	54.6¢	Won
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$262	83.5¢	Won
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	$487	27.6¢	Lost
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$75	13.5¢	Lost
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	$246	15.9¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	No	$135	14.8¢	Lost
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?	Yes	$300	88.0¢	Won
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$405	2.7¢	Lost
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?	No	$7	3.1¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$771	21.2¢	Lost
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	$80	73.0¢	Won
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	No	$1.5k	30.1¢	Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$298	24.8¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$142	57.0¢	Won
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$591	42.2¢	Lost
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$112	3.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$91	27.4¢	Lost
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?	Yes	$112	7.4¢	Lost
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	No	$322	21.9¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	$374	31.0¢	Lost
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?	Yes	$30	11.0¢	Lost
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Lost
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)	Denmark	$1.2k	59.0¢	Lost
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	No	$515	66.9¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$2.3k	19.6¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	No	$629	69.9¢	Won
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	No	$89	88.0¢	Won
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$1.5k	73.0¢	Won
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	$504	36.0¢	Lost
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Yes	$1.6k	60.0¢	Won
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?	Yes	$150	21.5¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$350	14.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$462	87.1¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$50	34.0¢	Lost
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	$4	1.0¢	Lost
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?	No	$62	79.0¢	Won
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$21	21.0¢	Lost

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Lost
Yes$252 @ 31.5¢
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$584 @ 35.3¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$4 @ 2.1¢
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Lost
Yes$47 @ 10.5¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Won
Under$1.7k @ 75.0¢
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$404 @ 24.8¢
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Lost
Yes$76 @ 3.3¢
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?Won
No$1.4k @ 57.9¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Won
Yes$210 @ 70.0¢
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Lost
Yes$396 @ 66.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Lost
Yes$33 @ 20.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 39.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$6.5k @ 54.6¢
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$262 @ 83.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Lost
Yes$487 @ 27.6¢
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$75 @ 13.5¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Lost
Yes$246 @ 15.9¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
No$135 @ 14.8¢
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Won
Yes$300 @ 88.0¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$405 @ 2.7¢
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?Lost
No$7 @ 3.1¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$771 @ 21.2¢
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Won
Brighton & Hove Albion FC$80 @ 73.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Lost
No$1.5k @ 30.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$298 @ 24.8¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Won
No$142 @ 57.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$591 @ 42.2¢
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Lost
Yes$112 @ 3.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$91 @ 27.4¢
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?Lost
Yes$112 @ 7.4¢
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?Lost
No$322 @ 21.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Lost
Yes$374 @ 31.0¢
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?Lost
Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Lost
Denmark$1.2k @ 59.0¢
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Lost
No$515 @ 66.9¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$2.3k @ 19.6¢
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Won
No$629 @ 69.9¢
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Won
No$89 @ 88.0¢
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Won
Yes$1.5k @ 73.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Lost
No$504 @ 36.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 60.0¢
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Lost
Yes$150 @ 21.5¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$350 @ 14.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$462 @ 87.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 34.0¢
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 1.0¢
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?Won
No$62 @ 79.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$21 @ 21.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?	Politics	Yes	$1.9k	86.2¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1.6k	23.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Politics	No	$1.3k	54.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	38.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$1.3k	24.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Sports	No	$1.0k	79.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Politics	No	$1000	63.7¢
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	Politics	No	$899	71.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$873	48.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Sports	No	$790	39.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$691	13.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Politics	No	$690	69.0¢
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?	Sports	No	$642	33.4¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$600	55.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Politics	Yes	$588	79.4¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Politics	No	$576	48.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$479	40.0¢
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$401	77.0¢
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Politics	No	$393	27.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$386	22.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$355	65.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$350	35.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Politics	No	$337	16.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$322	23.0¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	Geopolitics	No	$303	35.8¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$293	66.8¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Politics	Yes	$291	53.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$290	33.8¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$285	11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$255	51.0¢

Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?Politics
Yes$1.9k @ 86.2¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics
Yes$1.6k @ 23.0¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
No$1.3k @ 54.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 38.9¢
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics
Yes$1.3k @ 24.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Sports
No$1.0k @ 79.8¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Politics
No$1000 @ 63.7¢
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Politics
No$899 @ 71.0¢
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$873 @ 48.5¢
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Sports
No$790 @ 39.5¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$691 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics
No$690 @ 69.0¢
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?Sports
No$642 @ 33.4¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$600 @ 55.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Politics
Yes$588 @ 79.4¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics
No$576 @ 48.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$479 @ 40.0¢
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$401 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Politics
No$393 @ 27.8¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$386 @ 22.0¢
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$355 @ 65.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics
No$337 @ 16.9¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$322 @ 23.0¢
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Geopolitics
No$303 @ 35.8¢
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$293 @ 66.8¢
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics
Yes$291 @ 53.9¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$290 @ 33.8¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$285 @ 11.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$255 @ 51.0¢