0x72f7…92f7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x72f7b4aa5acaff9629917cf4ec34620a41c492f7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+25.2pp

ROI

+53%

Win rate

63% @ 37.4¢

Brier

0.219

Resolved

843

Avg size

$69

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (12/28)	+42%	28
Politics	35% (9/26)	+76%	26
Sports	13% (1/8)	-17%	8
Geopolitics	20% (1/5)	+18%	5
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+136%	1

Other28 bets
Hit rate
43% (12/28)
ROI
+42%
Politics26 bets
Hit rate
35% (9/26)
ROI
+76%
Sports8 bets
Hit rate
13% (1/8)
ROI
-17%
Geopolitics5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
+18%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+136%

Track record

35% hit · 24/68

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$378	31.5¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5	Under	$1.7k	75.0¢	Won
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	Yes	$33	20.9¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.5k	69.0¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	39.0¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$6.4k	53.9¢	Won
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$262	83.5¢	Won
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	$246	15.9¢	Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$405	2.7¢	Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	$771	21.2¢	Lost
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	Yes	$374	31.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$462	87.1¢	Won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$50	34.0¢	Lost
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$21	21.0¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$158	79.0¢	Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$68	5.2¢	Lost
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$380	17.0¢	Lost
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$3.3k	68.7¢	Won
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	$740	74.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$6.6k	66.2¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$871	20.8¢	Lost
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	$37	2.4¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	$143	13.0¢	Lost
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?	Yes	$67	16.4¢	Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$322	30.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	48.2¢	Won
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$14	28.0¢	Won
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?	Yes	$116	28.1¢	Lost
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$562	8.8¢	Lost
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$236	0.9¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$487	16.0¢	Lost
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$2.4k	86.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$100	1.2¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$806	42.4¢	Won
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$178	22.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$161	47.4¢	Lost
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	$630	74.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$924	33.0¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$5.2k	66.6¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$732	36.4¢	Lost
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	Yes	$456	22.0¢	Lost
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$62	18.6¢	Won
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$372	39.0¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1.0k	23.1¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	39.5¢	Won
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$91	11.1¢	Lost
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$749	14.5¢	Won
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$578	32.1¢	Lost
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5	Under	$359	63.0¢	Won
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	$228	15.0¢	Lost

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Lost
Yes$378 @ 31.5¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Won
Under$1.7k @ 75.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Lost
Yes$33 @ 20.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$1.5k @ 69.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1.6k @ 39.0¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$6.4k @ 53.9¢
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$262 @ 83.5¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Lost
Yes$246 @ 15.9¢
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$405 @ 2.7¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Lost
Yes$771 @ 21.2¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Lost
Yes$374 @ 31.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Won
No$462 @ 87.1¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Lost
Yes$50 @ 34.0¢
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
No$21 @ 21.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Lost
No$158 @ 79.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$68 @ 5.2¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$380 @ 17.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
Yes$3.3k @ 68.7¢
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?Lost
No$740 @ 74.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
No$6.6k @ 66.2¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Lost
Yes$871 @ 20.8¢
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Lost
Yes$37 @ 2.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 5?Lost
Yes$143 @ 13.0¢
Will Pacto Histórico win <18 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$67 @ 16.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Lost
Yes$322 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$1.7k @ 48.2¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Won
Yes$14 @ 28.0¢
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?Lost
Yes$116 @ 28.1¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
Yes$562 @ 8.8¢
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$236 @ 0.9¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Lost
No$487 @ 16.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Won
Yes$2.4k @ 86.0¢
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$100 @ 1.2¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$806 @ 42.4¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?Lost
Yes$178 @ 22.0¢
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Lost
Yes$161 @ 47.4¢
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)Won
Leeds United FC$630 @ 74.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$924 @ 33.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Won
No$5.2k @ 66.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Lost
Yes$732 @ 36.4¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Lost
Yes$456 @ 22.0¢
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$62 @ 18.6¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Lost
Yes$372 @ 39.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$1.0k @ 23.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Won
Yes$1.2k @ 39.5¢
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$91 @ 11.1¢
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
Yes$749 @ 14.5¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$578 @ 32.1¢
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Won
Under$359 @ 63.0¢
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Lost
No$228 @ 15.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$5.2k	58.6¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$569	2.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$379	9.1¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$312	6.5¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$306	2.4¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$278	5.8¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$186	20.5¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Crypto	Yes	$175	8.6¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$157	15.7¢
Eric Adams charged by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$155	29.7¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	No	$145	72.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Politics	Yes	$140	6.7¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$120	12.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$98	8.2¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Politics	Yes	$61	2.9¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Economy	Yes	$60	2.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$56	28.2¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$34	0.7¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	Yes	$31	3.0¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Geopolitics	Yes	$29	14.6¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$23	1.4¢
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	Yes	$16	1.1¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Politics	Yes	$8	13.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Politics	Yes	$1	56.0¢

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
Yes$5.2k @ 58.6¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$569 @ 2.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$379 @ 9.1¢
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$312 @ 6.5¢
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$306 @ 2.4¢
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$278 @ 5.8¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$186 @ 20.5¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto
Yes$175 @ 8.6¢
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$157 @ 15.7¢
Eric Adams charged by December 31?Politics
Yes$155 @ 29.7¢
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
No$145 @ 72.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics
Yes$140 @ 6.7¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$98 @ 8.2¢
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
Yes$61 @ 2.9¢
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy
Yes$60 @ 2.3¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$56 @ 28.2¢
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$34 @ 0.7¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
Yes$31 @ 3.0¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Geopolitics
Yes$29 @ 14.6¢
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$23 @ 1.4¢
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
Yes$16 @ 1.1¢
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?Politics
Yes$8 @ 13.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics
Yes$1 @ 56.0¢