0x6da2…f179

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x6da2f00933eb8837087cc0cd2b836a24fc5ef179
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+20.9pp

ROI

+69%

Win rate

61% @ 39.7¢

Brier

0.247

Resolved

328

Avg size

$73

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	71% (29/41)	+71%	41
Politics	67% (2/3)	-64%	3

Other41 bets
Hit rate
71% (29/41)
ROI
+71%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
67% (2/3)
ROI
-64%

Track record

70% hit · 31/44

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?	Yes	$337	12.2¢	Lost
Ethereum all time high before 2026?	Yes	$142	54.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?	No	$155	89.0¢	Won
Will Solana dip to $120 in October?	No	$148	74.0¢	Won
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$242	4.9¢	Lost
Scroll airdrop in 2024?	Yes	$14	71.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?	Yes	$609	62.0¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	No	$88	89.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?	No	$79	79.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?	Yes	$23	39.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?	No	$48	62.4¢	Won
Will Solana reach $160 in October?	Yes	$135	45.0¢	Won
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$859	25.5¢	Won
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?	Yes	$132	79.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?	Yes	$27	9.0¢	Lost
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	Yes	$49	49.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$89	65.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?	Yes	$18	79.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?	No	$6	59.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	Yes	$38	76.7¢	Won
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?	Yes	$70	3.5¢	Lost
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$302	50.9¢	Lost
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madrid	Arsenal	$84	42.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?	Yes	$9	85.0¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?	Yes	$610	75.1¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in October?	Yes	$108	36.0¢	Won
Solana above $150 on September 27?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?	Yes	$29	5.0¢	Lost
Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?	Yes	$425	85.0¢	Won
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?	No	$154	79.0¢	Won
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	No	$144	89.6¢	Won
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?	Yes	$73	73.0¢	Won
Solana above $145 on October 18?	Yes	$8	80.0¢	Won
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$315	26.0¢	Lost
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	Yes	$27	30.0¢	Won
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$1.9k	51.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$15.7k	48.4¢	Won
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?	Yes	$25	82.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?	Yes	$228	70.2¢	Won
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?	Yes	$157	88.0¢	Lost
Will Solana dip to $130 in October?	No	$11	35.0¢	Won
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?	Yes	$84	84.0¢	Won

Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Lost
Yes$337 @ 12.2¢
Ethereum all time high before 2026?Won
Yes$142 @ 54.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?Won
No$155 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana dip to $120 in October?Won
No$148 @ 74.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Lost
Yes$242 @ 4.9¢
Scroll airdrop in 2024?Won
Yes$14 @ 71.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Lost
Yes$609 @ 62.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Won
No$88 @ 89.0¢
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?Won
No$79 @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?Lost
Yes$23 @ 39.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Won
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Won
No$48 @ 62.4¢
Will Solana reach $160 in October? Won
Yes$135 @ 45.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$859 @ 25.5¢
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?Lost
Yes$132 @ 79.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?Lost
Yes$27 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Won
Yes$49 @ 49.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,000.00 in December?Won
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Won
Yes$89 @ 65.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?Won
Yes$18 @ 79.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Lost
No$6 @ 59.0¢
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Won
Yes$38 @ 76.7¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Lost
Yes$70 @ 3.5¢
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Lost
Yes$302 @ 50.9¢
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real MadridWon
Arsenal$84 @ 42.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?Won
Yes$9 @ 85.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?Won
Yes$610 @ 75.1¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in October?Won
Yes$108 @ 36.0¢
Solana above $150 on September 27?Won
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Lost
Yes$29 @ 5.0¢
Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?Won
Yes$425 @ 85.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Won
No$154 @ 79.0¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
No$144 @ 89.6¢
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Won
Yes$73 @ 73.0¢
Solana above $145 on October 18?Won
Yes$8 @ 80.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$315 @ 26.0¢
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Won
Yes$27 @ 30.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Lost
No$1.9k @ 51.0¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$15.7k @ 48.4¢
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Won
Yes$25 @ 82.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? Won
Yes$228 @ 70.2¢
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Lost
Yes$157 @ 88.0¢
Will Solana dip to $130 in October?Won
No$11 @ 35.0¢
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?Won
Yes$84 @ 84.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Politics	No	$94	89.0¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Politics	No	$83	95.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Politics	No	$70	63.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Politics	No	$20	78.0¢

Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
No$94 @ 89.0¢
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics
No$83 @ 95.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics
No$70 @ 63.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics
No$20 @ 78.0¢