← Smart money
0x6944…7275
SharpEdge
+7.0pp
ROI
+22%
Win rate
64% @ 56.8¢
Brier
0.196
Resolved
337
Avg size
$51
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (22/41) | +0% | 41 |
| Politics | 72% (13/18) | +12% | 18 |
| Geopolitics | 82% (14/17) | +66% | 17 |
| Sports | 62% (8/13) | +4% | 13 |
| Crypto | 33% (1/3) | +86% | 3 |
| Tech | 100% (2/2) | +28% | 2 |
| Economy | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other41 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (22/41)
- ROI
- +0%
- Politics18 bets
- Hit rate
- 72% (13/18)
- ROI
- +12%
- Geopolitics17 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (14/17)
- ROI
- +66%
- Sports13 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (8/13)
- ROI
- +4%
- Crypto3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +86%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +28%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
63% hit · 60/95- Broska/Oradini$9 @ 18.0¢
- Lewis Cook$52 @ 52.0¢
- Johnny Haines$37 @ 48.0¢
- Jaime Faria$310 @ 62.0¢
- Maria Sakkari$66 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
- No$208 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$66 @ 59.9¢
- No$26 @ 66.0¢
- No$109 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$144 @ 36.0¢
- No$171 @ 85.4¢
- No$59 @ 29.5¢
- No$924 @ 80.4¢
- Yes$136 @ 68.0¢
- No$552 @ 64.9¢
- No$106 @ 18.4¢
- Yes$81 @ 80.3¢
- No$175 @ 47.7¢
- Yes$138 @ 46.2¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- Ekaterine Gorgodze$232 @ 42.2¢
- No$279 @ 78.8¢
- Yes$57 @ 56.5¢
- No$157 @ 26.0¢
- Valentin Royer$98 @ 49.0¢
- No$217 @ 64.8¢
- Yes$85 @ 42.5¢
- No$300 @ 75.0¢
- No$121 @ 80.3¢
- No$99 @ 65.7¢
- Yes$621 @ 69.0¢
- Adrian Andreev$162 @ 54.0¢
- No$139 @ 86.8¢
- Yes$256 @ 18.3¢
- Yes$533 @ 65.7¢
- No$317 @ 76.9¢
- No$318 @ 45.4¢
- No$14 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
- Yes$772 @ 45.4¢
- Anna Blinkova$116 @ 58.0¢
- Izan Almazan Valiente$274 @ 54.4¢
- Lloyd Harris$189 @ 63.0¢
- No$159 @ 53.0¢
- Yes$123 @ 82.2¢
- Yes$267 @ 15.7¢
- No$56 @ 28.0¢
- No$66 @ 84.7¢
- No$209 @ 77.2¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$567 @ 94.5¢
- Yes$475 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$326 @ 81.5¢
- Jaime Faria$310 @ 62.0¢
- Johnny Haines$307 @ 45.0¢
- No$254 @ 45.3¢
- No$228 @ 90.0¢
- No$178 @ 89.0¢
- No$169 @ 94.0¢
- No$152 @ 76.0¢
- No$150 @ 75.0¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?GeopoliticsNo$143 @ 54.5¢
- Yes$134 @ 67.0¢
- No$132 @ 93.9¢
- Yes$117 @ 98.5¢
- No$109 @ 86.4¢
- Lanlana Tararudee$108 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
- No$83 @ 83.5¢
- No$82 @ 41.0¢
- No$82 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 79.4¢
- No$79 @ 66.0¢
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?GeopoliticsNo$78 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$74 @ 37.0¢
- Maria Sakkari$66 @ 66.0¢
- No$60 @ 75.5¢
- Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?TechYes$58 @ 48.7¢
- Yes$57 @ 63.0¢
- No$54 @ 27.0¢