0x64b4…b21e

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x64b47229f7b9340ccbd52768959fb55ac148b21e
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+35.5pp

ROI

+147%

Win rate

59% @ 23.7¢

Brier

0.344

Resolved

Avg size

$44

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	43% (3/7)	+18%	7
Politics	33% (2/6)	+227%	6
Tech	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Crypto	100% (1/1)	+243%	1

Other7 bets
Hit rate
43% (3/7)
ROI
+18%
Politics6 bets
Hit rate
33% (2/6)
ROI
+227%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Crypto1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+243%

Track record

40% hit · 6/15

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$59	47.0¢	Won
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$350	45.6¢	Lost
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	$282	11.5¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$140	43.8¢	Lost
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$900	29.2¢	Won
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?	No	$28	2.3¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	No	$30	29.9¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?	Yes	$166	85.9¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$729	27.3¢	Won
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?	No	$37	8.3¢	Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$331	21.1¢	Won
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$3	1.2¢	Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$232	27.8¢	Won
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	$38	15.0¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	$57	22.0¢	Lost

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Won
No$59 @ 47.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Lost
Yes$350 @ 45.6¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Lost
Yes$282 @ 11.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$140 @ 43.8¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
No$900 @ 29.2¢
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026?Lost
No$28 @ 2.3¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Won
No$30 @ 29.9¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?Lost
Yes$166 @ 85.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Won
No$729 @ 27.3¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?Lost
No$37 @ 8.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
Yes$331 @ 21.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Lost
No$3 @ 1.2¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Won
Yes$232 @ 27.8¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Lost
No$38 @ 15.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Lost
No$57 @ 22.0¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Politics	Yes	$728	59.1¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Politics	No	$631	53.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Politics	Yes	$422	20.9¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	—	Yes	$410	82.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	—	No	$370	74.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	—	No	$350	70.0¢
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Tech	No	$218	64.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	—	No	$202	48.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	—	No	$109	4.8¢
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	—	Yes	$105	38.1¢
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	—	No	$48	16.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Geopolitics	Yes	$30	9.9¢
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?	—	No	$23	12.8¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	—	Yes	$2	12.0¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
Yes$728 @ 59.1¢
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics
No$631 @ 53.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics
Yes$422 @ 20.9¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?—
Yes$410 @ 82.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?—
No$370 @ 74.0¢
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?—
No$350 @ 70.0¢
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Tech
No$218 @ 64.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?—
No$202 @ 48.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?—
No$109 @ 4.8¢
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?—
Yes$105 @ 38.1¢
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?—
No$48 @ 16.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Geopolitics
Yes$30 @ 9.9¢
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?—
No$23 @ 12.8¢
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?—
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢