0x5c3e…a917

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x5c3e96322be0a930ca581ca938fdab2716a5a917
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+8.4pp

ROI

+28%

Win rate

58% @ 49.8¢

Brier

0.211

Resolved

242

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	48% (37/77)	+19%	77
Other	41% (22/54)	-22%	54
Politics	53% (17/32)	+65%	32
Geopolitics	33% (1/3)	-58%	3
Crypto	33% (1/3)	-48%	3
Science	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Tech	100% (1/1)	+52%	1
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Sports77 bets
Hit rate
48% (37/77)
ROI
+19%
Other54 bets
Hit rate
41% (22/54)
ROI
-22%
Politics32 bets
Hit rate
53% (17/32)
ROI
+65%
Geopolitics3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-58%
Crypto3 bets
Hit rate
33% (1/3)
ROI
-48%
Science2 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Tech1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

46% hit · 79/173

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$2	12.5¢	Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	$3	25.0¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 8?	Yes	$3	57.0¢	Lost
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?	Yes	$3	55.0¢	Lost
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5	Under	$10	56.0¢	Lost
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance	Algeria	$1	33.2¢	Lost
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score	No	$3	66.0¢	Lost
Spread: Canada (-1.5)	Canada	$5	28.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	$5	48.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	$5	81.0¢	Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	$5	50.0¢	Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	Argentina	$4	40.5¢	Lost
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Lost
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	$1	68.0¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$3	31.0¢	Lost
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	$4	63.2¢	Won
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$2	38.0¢	Lost
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$8	84.0¢	Lost
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	$18	69.8¢	Won
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?	Yes	$4	74.0¢	Won
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Won
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	$2	40.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?	No	$2	43.0¢	Lost
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$7	57.7¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$8	48.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	No	$2	43.0¢	Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	$3	51.0¢	Won
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	Yes	$1	47.0¢	Won
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5	Under	$3	57.0¢	Lost
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance	Argentina	$10	74.7¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$7	69.0¢	Lost
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	Yes	$2	24.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$17	18.2¢	Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$2	26.5¢	Lost
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$18	63.0¢	Won
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	Under	$4	51.0¢	Won
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$8	47.6¢	Lost
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$5	88.0¢	Won
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Won
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$3	77.0¢	Lost
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	Yes	$10	32.8¢	Lost
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5	Under	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Croatia	$10	41.0¢	Lost
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	$3	7.8¢	Lost
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Under	$5	56.0¢	Lost
Spread: France (-1.5)	Morocco	$8	66.0¢	Lost
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	$9	39.8¢	Lost

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Lost
Yes$2 @ 12.5¢
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 25.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 8?Lost
Yes$3 @ 57.0¢
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-23?Lost
Yes$3 @ 55.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Lost
Under$10 @ 56.0¢
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceLost
Algeria$1 @ 33.2¢
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreLost
No$3 @ 66.0¢
Spread: Canada (-1.5)Lost
Canada$5 @ 28.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETLost
Up$5 @ 48.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETLost
Up$5 @ 81.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETLost
Down$5 @ 50.0¢
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceLost
Argentina$4 @ 40.5¢
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Won
No$1 @ 68.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$3 @ 31.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Won
No$4 @ 63.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Lost
Yes$8 @ 84.0¢
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Won
Yes$18 @ 69.8¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Won
Yes$4 @ 74.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Won
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Won
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 29?Lost
No$2 @ 43.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Won
Yes$7 @ 57.7¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$8 @ 48.5¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?Lost
No$2 @ 43.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Won
Yes$3 @ 51.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Won
Yes$1 @ 47.0¢
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$3 @ 57.0¢
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceWon
Argentina$10 @ 74.7¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Lost
Yes$7 @ 69.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Lost
Yes$2 @ 24.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$17 @ 18.2¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$2 @ 26.5¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Won
Yes$18 @ 63.0¢
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Won
Under$4 @ 51.0¢
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Lost
Yes$8 @ 47.6¢
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Won
No$5 @ 88.0¢
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Won
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Lost
No$3 @ 77.0¢
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Lost
Yes$10 @ 32.8¢
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$10 @ 50.0¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Lost
Croatia$10 @ 41.0¢
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 7.8¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$5 @ 56.0¢
Spread: France (-1.5)Lost
Morocco$8 @ 66.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Lost
Yes$9 @ 39.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

Loading recent trades…

Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Sports	Yes	$25	51.0¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Science	Yes	$25	53.1¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$18	69.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	—	Yes	$17	85.2¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$14	3.2¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Sports	Australia	$12	65.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$10	67.0¢
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Sports	Yes	$10	32.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5	—	Under	$10	65.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5	—	Under	$10	56.0¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)	Sports	Croatia	$10	41.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$8	47.6¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	—	Yes	$7	21.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	—	Yes	$7	57.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$7	57.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Sports	No	$7	54.0¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5	Sports	Under	$6	59.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	—	Yes	$6	32.6¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Sports	Yes	$5	27.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	—	Down	$5	50.0¢
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	64.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	—	Up	$5	65.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	—	Up	$5	81.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	—	Up	$5	68.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$5	65.0¢
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	62.0¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$5	57.5¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	—	No	$5	50.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	—	Up	$5	48.0¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5	Sports	Over	$5	44.0¢

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Sports
Yes$25 @ 51.0¢
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Science
Yes$25 @ 53.1¢
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$18 @ 69.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?—
Yes$17 @ 85.2¢
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$14 @ 3.2¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Sports
Australia$12 @ 65.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$10 @ 67.0¢
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Sports
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5—
Under$10 @ 65.0¢
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5—
Under$10 @ 56.0¢
Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Sports
Croatia$10 @ 41.0¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$8 @ 47.6¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?—
Yes$7 @ 21.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?—
Yes$7 @ 57.0¢
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$7 @ 57.0¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Sports
No$7 @ 54.0¢
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5Sports
Under$6 @ 59.0¢
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?—
Yes$6 @ 32.6¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Sports
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET—
Down$5 @ 50.0¢
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 64.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET—
Up$5 @ 65.3¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET—
Up$5 @ 81.0¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET—
Up$5 @ 68.0¢
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$5 @ 65.0¢
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 62.0¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$5 @ 57.5¢
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?—
No$5 @ 50.5¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET—
Up$5 @ 48.0¢
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5Sports
Over$5 @ 44.0¢