← Smart money
0x56e7…cf24
ProfitableEdge
+36.0pp
ROI
+84%
Win rate
72% @ 35.5¢
Brier
0.264
Resolved
151
Avg size
$82
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 82% (9/11) | +94% | 11 |
| Other | 25% (1/4) | -10% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Politics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 82% (9/11)
- ROI
- +94%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -10%
- Geopolitics2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
59% hit · 10/17- No$4.6k @ 36.7¢
- No$1.5k @ 50.2¢
- No$1.4k @ 70.9¢
- No$432 @ 33.2¢
- No$303 @ 60.0¢
- No$43 @ 8.9¢
- Yes$99 @ 30.4¢
- No$292 @ 73.0¢
- No$563 @ 17.8¢
- No$36 @ 12.0¢
- No$60 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$30 @ 66.0¢
- No$2.3k @ 65.0¢
- No$133 @ 14.8¢
- No$289 @ 73.6¢
- No$312 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 2.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$1.4k @ 15.4¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 28.1¢
- Yes$849 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$836 @ 12.7¢
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?GeopoliticsYes$609 @ 12.9¢
- Yes$598 @ 19.9¢
- Yes$465 @ 11.7¢
- Yes$446 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$420 @ 16.8¢
- Yes$385 @ 28.5¢
- No$376 @ 46.8¢
- Yes$320 @ 29.3¢
- Yes$307 @ 27.9¢
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$245 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$181 @ 8.2¢
- Yes$151 @ 19.5¢
- Yes$150 @ 18.7¢
- No$113 @ 23.4¢
- Yes$94 @ 11.7¢
- Yes$90 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$87 @ 22.3¢
- Yes$76 @ 14.8¢
- Yes$61 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$38 @ 8.4¢
- Yes$34 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$32 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$27 @ 10.2¢
- Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 8.0¢