← Smart money
0x54b5…4b31
SharpEdge
+17.2pp
ROI
+6%
Win rate
66% @ 48.7¢
Brier
0.169
Resolved
2747
Avg size
$267
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 22% (26/120) | -28% | 120 |
| Sports | 54% (51/94) | +6% | 94 |
| Other | 34% (14/41) | +20% | 41 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (4/8) | +7% | 8 |
| Tech | 0% (0/3) | -100% | 3 |
| Economy | 33% (1/3) | -80% | 3 |
| Science | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +4% | 1 |
- Politics120 bets
- Hit rate
- 22% (26/120)
- ROI
- -28%
- Sports94 bets
- Hit rate
- 54% (51/94)
- ROI
- +6%
- Other41 bets
- Hit rate
- 34% (14/41)
- ROI
- +20%
- Geopolitics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +7%
- Tech3 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/3)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -80%
- Science1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +4%
Track record
36% hit · 98/271- No$1.6k @ 67.8¢
- Yes$97 @ 56.3¢
- JooSang Yoo$230 @ 46.0¢
- Chiefs$144 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$51.7k @ 29.5¢
- No$680 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$561 @ 55.6¢
- Patriots$1.8k @ 51.1¢
- No$9.1k @ 17.9¢
- Yes$10.5k @ 66.5¢
- Yes$630 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$307 @ 0.5¢
- M80$157 @ 17.0¢
- Rams$1.4k @ 72.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 0.6¢
- Mauricio Ruffy$779 @ 29.2¢
- Tai Tuivasa$1.8k @ 19.2¢
- Yes$879 @ 20.9¢
- Team Falcons$630 @ 63.0¢
- 49ers$2.5k @ 31.9¢
- No$1.1k @ 35.0¢
- Lions vs. BillsLostLions$2.0k @ 30.5¢
- Yes$202 @ 24.0¢
- Yes$159 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$15.1k @ 53.2¢
- Morgan Charrière$2.3k @ 31.7¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 20.7¢
- No$3.8k @ 81.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 63.0¢
- Vikings$374 @ 37.4¢
- Yes$3.1k @ 62.7¢
- Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
- No$88 @ 77.0¢
- No$395 @ 56.0¢
- No$10.2k @ 72.2¢
- Yes$450 @ 9.0¢
- No$4.1k @ 44.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 34.0¢
- No$160 @ 17.5¢
- No$400 @ 8.0¢
- No$2.7k @ 24.1¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 69.3¢
- Yes$784 @ 76.6¢
- No$46.0k @ 19.6¢
- Yes$12.6k @ 50.5¢
- Yes$641 @ 16.0¢
- No$2.6k @ 25.1¢
- Yes$71.4k @ 78.1¢
- Yes$410 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 43.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$24.9k @ 71.2¢
- No$8.3k @ 83.2¢
- Yes$6.9k @ 22.9¢
- No$4.8k @ 89.8¢
- Yes$4.0k @ 26.5¢
- Yes$3.3k @ 65.7¢
- No$3.3k @ 81.4¢
- Yes$2.0k @ 34.0¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 60.2¢
- Yes$700 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$514 @ 51.3¢
- Yes$485 @ 24.2¢
- Yes$450 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$360 @ 12.0¢
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$338 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$322 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$210 @ 42.0¢
- No$157 @ 65.1¢
- Yes$143 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$120 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$115 @ 23.0¢
- No$85 @ 84.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$38 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 1.4¢