← Smart money
0x4da9…3f5d
ProfitableEdge
+14.9pp
ROI
+38%
Win rate
67% @ 52.2¢
Brier
0.239
Resolved
82
Avg size
$5
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 75% (6/8) | +36% | 8 |
| Politics | 67% (4/6) | +29% | 6 |
| Crypto | 100% (2/2) | +98% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other8 bets
- Hit rate
- 75% (6/8)
- ROI
- +36%
- Politics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +29%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +98%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
71% hit · 12/17- No$10 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$70 @ 25.0¢
- No$45 @ 49.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
- No$5 @ 82.3¢
- No$35 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$95 @ 40.4¢
- No$5 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 89.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 67.1¢
- Yes$45 @ 54.9¢
- No$20 @ 65.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 58.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 60.0¢
- No$5 @ 73.1¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Politics | No | $126 | 75.4¢ |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Politics | Yes | $11 | 63.3¢ |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | — | No | $10 | 53.8¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | — | No | $5 | 76.0¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | — | No | $5 | 68.0¢ |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | — | Yes | $5 | 58.0¢ |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | Tech | No | $5 | 93.0¢ |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 44.0¢ |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | — | No | $1 | 64.0¢ |
- No$126 @ 75.4¢
- Yes$11 @ 63.3¢
- No$10 @ 53.8¢
- No$5 @ 76.0¢
- No$5 @ 68.0¢
- Yes$5 @ 58.0¢
- No$5 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 44.0¢
- No$1 @ 64.0¢