← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 9, 2026

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

95.1¢

No

4.9¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 81%No 19%

10 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xa6b7…d5f3	Yes	$224	41.7¢	3.0×	+25%	64%	Sharp
0xbacd…ab35	Yes	$86	85.6¢	1.4×	+183%	40%	Profitable
0xc0b6…3a92	No	$85	50.0¢	2.4×	+10%	46%	Sharp
0x1c14…0869	Yes	$48	66.9¢	0.3×	+15%	61%	Sharp
0xb6ce…895d	Yes	$15	26.0¢	0.4×	+50%	50%	Sharp
0x7b64…8440	Yes	$13	57.9¢	2.8×	+17%	49%	Sharp
0xb6ce…895d	No	$4	48.0¢	0.1×	+50%	50%	Sharp
0xeae1…65ec	Yes	$3	87.5¢	0.3×	+9%	34%	Sharp
0xf1ff…5b03	Yes	$3	36.1¢	0.1×	+6%	31%	Sharp
0xbacd…ab35	No	$2	11.0¢	0.0×	+183%	40%	Profitable

0xa6b7…d5f3Sharp

Yes$224 @ 41.7¢

Conv: 3.0×
ROI: +25%
Win%: 64%

0xbacd…ab35Profitable

Yes$86 @ 85.6¢

Conv: 1.4×
ROI: +183%
Win%: 40%

0xc0b6…3a92Sharp

No$85 @ 50.0¢

Conv: 2.4×
ROI: +10%
Win%: 46%

0x1c14…0869Sharp

Yes$48 @ 66.9¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 61%

0xb6ce…895dSharp

Yes$15 @ 26.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +50%
Win%: 50%

0x7b64…8440Sharp

Yes$13 @ 57.9¢

Conv: 2.8×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 49%

0xb6ce…895dSharp

No$4 @ 48.0¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +50%
Win%: 50%

0xeae1…65ecSharp

Yes$3 @ 87.5¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 34%

0xf1ff…5b03Sharp

Yes$3 @ 36.1¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 31%

0xbacd…ab35Profitable

No$2 @ 11.0¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +183%
Win%: 40%