0x4bc9…eacb

Specialization by sphere

• Other65 bets

  Hit rate

  80% (52/65)

  ROI

  +21%

• Politics21 bets

  Hit rate

  57% (12/21)

  ROI

  -25%

• Geopolitics6 bets

  Hit rate

  83% (5/6)

  ROI

  +21%

• Sports1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  No$1 @ 98.1¢
• Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Won
  No$1 @ 97.7¢
• Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Lost
  Opp.$5 @ 71.0¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  No$15 @ 95.4¢
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
  No$5 @ 85.0¢
• Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Won
  No$15 @ 99.8¢
• Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 78.0¢
• Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Lost
  No$1 @ 78.0¢
• Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Lost
  No$1 @ 48.0¢
• Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Won
  No$1 @ 76.0¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?Won
  No$1 @ 27.0¢
• Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November?Lost
  No$1 @ 54.0¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 46.0¢
• US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Lost
  No$3 @ 5.2¢
• Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Lost
  No$1 @ 26.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$8 @ 54.0¢
• Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Won
  No$1 @ 76.2¢
• Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$5 @ 81.4¢
• Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Won
  No$5 @ 88.0¢
• Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Lost
  No$1 @ 64.0¢
• Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?Won
  No$5 @ 90.0¢
• Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Won
  No$3 @ 79.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Won
  No$2 @ 75.0¢
• US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 41.2¢
• Will no listed leader be out in 2025?Won
  Yes$2 @ 77.4¢
• Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 30.0¢
• Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?Lost
  No$1 @ 34.0¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?Won
  No$1 @ 80.0¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Won
  No$5 @ 77.5¢
• Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?Won
  Yes$5 @ 46.2¢
• Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Won
  No$2 @ 84.5¢
• Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 81.0¢
• US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Won
  No$1 @ 75.0¢
• Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Won
  Yes$1 @ 22.0¢
• Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Won
  No$6 @ 74.4¢
• Will Ajax advance to the round of 16?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
• Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Won
  No$1 @ 82.0¢
• Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Won
  No$10 @ 88.0¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Won
  No$1 @ 87.0¢
• Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 85.0¢
• Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?Lost
  No$1 @ 41.0¢
• Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 21.0¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Won
  Yes$1 @ 55.0¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Won
  No$4 @ 69.0¢
• Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?Won
  Yes$4 @ 78.0¢
• Will Trump say "McDonald's" in January?Won
  No$1 @ 74.0¢
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 39.0¢
• Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Won
  No$1 @ 65.0¢
• US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Won
  No$1 @ 83.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.7¢

Current positions

• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Politics
  No$25 @ 94.3¢
• Will Venezuela become 51st state?Politics
  No$14 @ 95.0¢
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture
  No$5 @ 96.2¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 87.5¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$4 @ 94.0¢
• Trump out as President before 2027?Politics
  No$4 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics
  No$3 @ 75.9¢
• Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Geopolitics
  No$3 @ 92.0¢
• Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?Politics
  No$3 @ 82.0¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics
  No$3 @ 87.0¢
• Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics
  No$2 @ 93.0¢
• US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics
  No$2 @ 79.4¢
• Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$1 @ 66.0¢
• Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?Crypto
  No$1 @ 66.0¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics
  No$1 @ 65.0¢
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics
  No$1 @ 95.0¢
• Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics
  No$1 @ 79.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics
  No$1 @ 63.6¢
• Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Geopolitics
  No$1 @ 76.0¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics
  No$1 @ 72.0¢
• Will Ilse Aigner be the next President of Germany?Politics
  No$1 @ 43.0¢