← Smart money
0x4bac…5e79
SharpEdge
+4.7pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
45% @ 40.6¢
Brier
0.172
Resolved
2130
Avg size
$15
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 43% (12/28) | +15% | 28 |
| Politics | 48% (11/23) | +1% | 23 |
| Other | 50% (2/4) | +14% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | 50% (2/4) | -5% | 4 |
| Tech | 50% (1/2) | +3% | 2 |
| Economy | 100% (1/1) | +3126% | 1 |
- Sports28 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (12/28)
- ROI
- +15%
- Politics23 bets
- Hit rate
- 48% (11/23)
- ROI
- +1%
- Other4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- +14%
- Geopolitics4 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (2/4)
- ROI
- -5%
- Tech2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +3%
- Economy1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +3126%
Track record
47% hit · 29/62- No$1 @ 20.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 81.6¢
- No$5 @ 92.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
- No$6 @ 96.4¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.4¢
- No$5 @ 95.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
- No$2 @ 93.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
- No$2 @ 89.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 9.3¢
- No$5 @ 95.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 4.8¢
- No$6 @ 16.4¢
- No$5 @ 90.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
- No$0 @ 3.6¢
- Yes$5 @ 96.1¢
- No$42 @ 93.5¢
- Yes$0 @ 7.0¢
- No$356 @ 40.0¢
- Yes$433 @ 48.8¢
- No$7.7k @ 63.6¢
- Yes$3.5k @ 27.0¢
- No$397 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$249 @ 29.1¢
- No$73 @ 26.1¢
- Yes$253 @ 61.5¢
- No$164 @ 25.8¢
- Yes$151 @ 61.7¢
- Yes$1 @ 3.1¢
- No$284 @ 25.9¢
- Yes$447 @ 65.1¢
- No$91 @ 84.8¢
- Yes$13 @ 12.2¢
- No$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$93 @ 88.9¢
- No$39 @ 15.8¢
- Yes$135 @ 85.4¢
- No$3.1k @ 29.2¢
- Yes$5.0k @ 65.1¢
- No$323 @ 8.7¢
- Yes$378 @ 83.4¢
- No$33 @ 6.1¢
- No$754 @ 45.5¢
- Yes$232 @ 42.4¢
- Yes$54 @ 6.7¢
- No$318 @ 63.7¢
- Yes$258 @ 34.7¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$100 @ 96.7¢
- No$92 @ 92.1¢
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$92 @ 91.8¢
- No$89 @ 94.0¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?PoliticsNo$88 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
- No$84 @ 79.9¢
- No$81 @ 82.1¢
- Yes$71 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$67 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$64 @ 60.7¢
- No$56 @ 92.8¢
- No$51 @ 51.0¢
- Anduril IPO before 2027?BusinessNo$50 @ 90.8¢
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$49 @ 49.0¢
- Yes$48 @ 48.0¢
- No$41 @ 38.9¢
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$32 @ 96.5¢
- No$30 @ 30.0¢
- No$27 @ 27.0¢
- Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?BusinessYes$27 @ 18.1¢
- No$26 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.9¢
- No$24 @ 48.0¢
- No$24 @ 75.1¢
- Yes$21 @ 19.9¢
- No$14 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
- No$9 @ 91.4¢