← Smart money
0x4b8c…9e5d
SharpEdge
+1.5pp
ROI
+38%
Win rate
10% @ 8.4¢
Brier
0.067
Resolved
4817
Avg size
$12
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 12% (29/237) | +109% | 237 |
| Crypto | 3% (3/109) | -89% | 109 |
| Politics | 8% (8/99) | -69% | 99 |
| Geopolitics | 14% (3/21) | -60% | 21 |
| Tech | 21% (4/19) | -35% | 19 |
| Sports | 0% (0/11) | -100% | 11 |
| Economy | 33% (1/3) | +76% | 3 |
- Other237 bets
- Hit rate
- 12% (29/237)
- ROI
- +109%
- Crypto109 bets
- Hit rate
- 3% (3/109)
- ROI
- -89%
- Politics99 bets
- Hit rate
- 8% (8/99)
- ROI
- -69%
- Geopolitics21 bets
- Hit rate
- 14% (3/21)
- ROI
- -60%
- Tech19 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (4/19)
- ROI
- -35%
- Sports11 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/11)
- ROI
- -100%
- Economy3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- +76%
Track record
10% hit · 48/499- Something$3 @ 13.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
- No$0 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$25 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$39 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$8 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$0 @ 13.0¢
- Yes$101 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$30 @ 13.5¢
- Morocco$10 @ 22.5¢
- Norway$1 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$8 @ 2.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$15 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$79 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$6 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$34 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$12 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 6.3¢
- No$9 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$0 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.8¢
- Yes$193 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$72 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$24 @ 1.8¢
- Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?LostYes$28 @ 1.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
- Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?LostYes$25 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$130 @ 2.7¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 7.9¢
- Yes$68 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$42 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$33 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 3.8¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- No$743 @ 5.3¢
- Knicks vs. SpursSportsSpurs$560 @ 73.0¢
- Yes$449 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$323 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$306 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$283 @ 2.4¢
- Yes$229 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$204 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$193 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$163 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$101 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$95 @ 1.4¢
- Yes$86 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$79 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$72 @ 7.4¢
- Yes$71 @ 0.8¢
- Yes$69 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$65 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$64 @ 1.1¢
- Yes$61 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$60 @ 0.2¢
- Yes$58 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$55 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$50 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$49 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$47 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$46 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$44 @ 0.1¢
- No$44 @ 1.1¢