← Smart money
0x48f9…e61d
SharpEdge
+8.3pp
ROI
+89%
Win rate
23% @ 14.5¢
Brier
0.118
Resolved
422
Avg size
$24
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 9% (2/23) | -83% | 23 |
| Other | 41% (9/22) | +202% | 22 |
| Geopolitics | 0% (0/6) | -100% | 6 |
| Crypto | 50% (1/2) | +25% | 2 |
- Politics23 bets
- Hit rate
- 9% (2/23)
- ROI
- -83%
- Other22 bets
- Hit rate
- 41% (9/22)
- ROI
- +202%
- Geopolitics6 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/6)
- ROI
- -100%
- Crypto2 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +25%
Track record
23% hit · 12/53- Yes$166 @ 7.2¢
- Yes$871 @ 15.1¢
- Yes$123 @ 49.0¢
- No$11 @ 1.9¢
- Yes$22 @ 3.1¢
- No$10 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 3.7¢
- No$43 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$142 @ 5.6¢
- Yes$413 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$273 @ 49.3¢
- No$106 @ 2.6¢
- No$510 @ 72.1¢
- Yes$57 @ 18.2¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 77.5¢
- Yes$54 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$91 @ 0.6¢
- Yes$53 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$16 @ 2.2¢
- No$27 @ 12.3¢
- No$8 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 73.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$42 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
- No$835 @ 75.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$27 @ 13.4¢
- Yes$393 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$11 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$485 @ 5.5¢
- Yes$68 @ 4.2¢
- Yes$108 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 2.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 6.1¢
- No$89 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.6¢
- No$769 @ 74.2¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
- No$7 @ 3.3¢
- Yes$201 @ 17.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 0.9¢
- No$5 @ 2.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 1.2¢
- No$290 @ 4.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 29.7¢
- Yes$152 @ 10.1¢
- Yes$28 @ 0.9¢
- Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
- Yes$50 @ 9.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$341 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$250 @ 6.2¢
- Yes$207 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$177 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$120 @ 11.8¢
- Yes$113 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$113 @ 3.2¢
- Yes$108 @ 11.3¢
- Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$101 @ 8.5¢
- Yes$73 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$64 @ 5.4¢
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$53 @ 5.2¢
- Yes$50 @ 6.5¢
- Yes$39 @ 7.8¢
- No$35 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 12.2¢
- Yes$26 @ 7.5¢
- Yes$24 @ 8.0¢
- No$18 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 1.5¢
- Yes$13 @ 17.8¢
- Yes$9 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 2.7¢