0x4755…4158

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+11.1pp

ROI

+25%

Win rate

55% @ 43.9¢

Brier

0.041

Resolved

320

Avg size

$1.5k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	70% (7/10)	+35%	10
Politics	100% (4/4)	+20%	4

Other10 bets
Hit rate
70% (7/10)
ROI
+35%
Politics4 bets
Hit rate
100% (4/4)
ROI
+20%

Track record

79% hit · 11/14

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$20.9k	89.0¢	Won
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?	No	$670	45.7¢	Won
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?	Yes	$801	0.8¢	Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 26m?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	$9.7k	87.2¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	Yes	$9.5k	87.8¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$220.8k	84.0¢	Won
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$14.2k	86.7¢	Won
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$52.8k	77.6¢	Won
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	$264	69.0¢	Won
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$95.1k	84.8¢	Won
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	Yes	$3.6k	22.0¢	Lost
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	$44.4k	53.1¢	Won
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	$7.2k	57.1¢	Won

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Won
No$20.9k @ 89.0¢
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?Won
No$670 @ 45.7¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?Lost
Yes$801 @ 0.8¢
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 26m?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Won
No$9.7k @ 87.2¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Won
Yes$9.5k @ 87.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$220.8k @ 84.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Won
No$14.2k @ 86.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Won
Yes$52.8k @ 77.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?Won
No$264 @ 69.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Won
No$95.1k @ 84.8¢
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyLost
Yes$3.6k @ 22.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Won
No$44.4k @ 53.1¢
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Won
Yes$7.2k @ 57.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Politics	No	$149.8k	89.3¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Crypto	No	$48.9k	70.8¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Sports	No	$42.5k	97.7¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$31.5k	86.8¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	Tech	No	$23.8k	94.4¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Tech	No	$2.7k	87.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics
No$149.8k @ 89.3¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto
No$48.9k @ 70.8¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Sports
No$42.5k @ 97.7¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$31.5k @ 86.8¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech
No$23.8k @ 94.4¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech
No$2.7k @ 87.0¢