0x39a4…7538

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x39a4773d85d8b3815a45713315c86981a5977538
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+42.2pp

ROI

+192%

Win rate

69% @ 27.2¢

Brier

0.378

Resolved

Avg size

$62

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Sports	63% (5/8)	+21%	8
Politics	40% (2/5)	+219%	5
Other	100% (1/1)	+75%	1

Sports8 bets
Hit rate
63% (5/8)
ROI
+21%
Politics5 bets
Hit rate
40% (2/5)
ROI
+219%
Other1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+75%

Track record

57% hit · 8/14

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	$14	58.0¢	Won
CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$30	51.0¢	Lost
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$613	21.6¢	Won
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$199	21.2¢	Lost
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	$38	40.0¢	Lost
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	$1	52.0¢	Won
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	$67	57.0¢	Won
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	$10	9.4¢	Lost
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	$66	16.9¢	Lost
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$198	61.0¢	Won
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	$6	63.0¢	Won
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$1.6k	27.7¢	Won
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	$223	6.6¢	Lost

Will England win on 2026-10-03?Won
Yes$14 @ 58.0¢
CR Flamengo vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreLost
Yes$30 @ 51.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
No$613 @ 21.6¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Lost
Yes$199 @ 21.2¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?Lost
Yes$38 @ 40.0¢
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-09-28?Won
Yes$1 @ 52.0¢
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?Won
Yes$67 @ 57.0¢
Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-24?Lost
Yes$10 @ 9.4¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Lost
Yes$66 @ 16.9¢
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to ScoreWon
Yes$198 @ 61.0¢
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-01?Won
Yes$6 @ 63.0¢
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-09-29?Won
Yes$1 @ 78.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Won
Yes$1.6k @ 27.7¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Lost
Yes$223 @ 6.6¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Politics	Yes	$362	71.0¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics
Yes$362 @ 71.0¢