0x30fe…74bc

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x30feed64250cab6b6d9e4c8fa3e8841da41774bc
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+5.5pp

ROI

+9%

Win rate

58% @ 52.5¢

Brier

0.168

Resolved

386

Avg size

$14

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	50% (52/103)	+13%	103
Science	70% (30/43)	+25%	43
Sports	38% (8/21)	-40%	21
Politics	63% (12/19)	-5%	19

Other103 bets
Hit rate
50% (52/103)
ROI
+13%
Science43 bets
Hit rate
70% (30/43)
ROI
+25%
Sports21 bets
Hit rate
38% (8/21)
ROI
-40%
Politics19 bets
Hit rate
63% (12/19)
ROI
-5%

Track record

55% hit · 102/186

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?	Yes	$12	29.0¢	Won
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$23	23.0¢	Won
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	Yes	$26	13.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?	No	$38	85.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 5?	Yes	$94	84.1¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	$88	88.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Won
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	T1	$4	66.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?	No	$17	84.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	$14	13.4¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 15?	Yes	$2	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June 11?	No	$59	77.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 3?	Yes	$6	29.8¢	Lost
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	LGD Gaming	$3	51.0¢	Won
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	$5	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?	No	$69	89.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 8?	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	$5	13.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?	Yes	$9	82.2¢	Won
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	BNK FEARX	$3	16.0¢	Lost
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	$2	36.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	$5	45.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?	No	$118	87.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 13?	No	$13	74.7¢	Lost
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	$10	58.9¢	Lost
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	JD Gaming	$7	14.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?	Yes	$18	35.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?	No	$37	39.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?	Yes	$85	79.6¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	$12	29.1¢	Won
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 5?	Yes	$40	80.3¢	Won
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$12	59.0¢	Lost
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	$7	61.3¢	Won
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	$3	46.0¢	Lost
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner	T1	$12	58.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11?	Yes	$12	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?	No	$37	77.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 5?	Yes	$3	14.0¢	Lost
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	$4	4.3¢	Lost
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner	Kiwoom DRX	$4	59.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on June 30?	No	$268	88.7¢	Won
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	KT Rolster	$14	76.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?	No	$43	85.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on June 3?	Yes	$17	43.9¢	Won
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	$46	35.1¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?	Yes	$1	50.0¢	Lost
Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	$7	74.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 3?	No	$25	88.3¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 13?	Yes	$5	50.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?Won
Yes$12 @ 29.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Won
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Lost
Yes$26 @ 13.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?Won
No$38 @ 85.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on June 5?Won
Yes$94 @ 84.1¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Won
No$88 @ 88.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?Won
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerLost
T1$4 @ 66.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9?Lost
No$17 @ 84.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Won
No$14 @ 13.4¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June 11?Won
No$59 @ 77.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 3?Lost
Yes$6 @ 29.8¢
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWon
LGD Gaming$3 @ 51.0¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerWon
Dplus KIA$5 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?Won
No$69 @ 89.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 8?Lost
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 21?Lost
Yes$5 @ 13.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?Won
Yes$9 @ 82.2¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerLost
BNK FEARX$3 @ 16.0¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerLost
Dplus KIA$2 @ 36.0¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$5 @ 45.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 25?Won
No$118 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 13?Lost
No$13 @ 74.7¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerLost
Dplus KIA$10 @ 58.9¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerLost
JD Gaming$7 @ 14.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 10?Won
Yes$18 @ 35.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?Won
No$37 @ 39.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 24?Lost
Yes$85 @ 79.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Won
No$12 @ 29.1¢
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Lost
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or below on June 5?Won
Yes$40 @ 80.3¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Lost
Under$12 @ 59.0¢
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Won
Dplus KIA$7 @ 61.3¢
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerLost
G2 Esports$3 @ 46.0¢
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerWon
T1$12 @ 58.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11?Lost
Yes$12 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?Won
No$37 @ 77.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 5?Lost
Yes$3 @ 14.0¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLost
Invictus Gaming$4 @ 4.3¢
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerWon
Kiwoom DRX$4 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on June 30?Won
No$268 @ 88.7¢
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerWon
KT Rolster$14 @ 76.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on July 4?Won
No$43 @ 85.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on June 3?Won
Yes$17 @ 43.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Won
Yes$46 @ 35.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 15?Lost
Yes$1 @ 50.0¢
Games Total: O/U 2.5Won
Under$7 @ 74.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 3?Won
No$25 @ 88.3¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 50.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Politics	Yes	$33	26.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Politics	Yes	$27	13.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$23	41.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	Yes	$22	11.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$11	27.0¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	12.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	Yes	$5	7.9¢

Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics
Yes$33 @ 26.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics
Yes$27 @ 13.5¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics
No$23 @ 41.0¢
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Geopolitics
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics
Yes$11 @ 27.0¢
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? Science
Yes$5 @ 12.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Science
Yes$5 @ 7.9¢