← Smart money
0x2721…cf8a
SharpEdge
+9.3pp
ROI
+16%
Win rate
52% @ 42.8¢
Brier
0.168
Resolved
416
Avg size
$4
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 62% (53/85) | +32% | 85 |
| Politics | 44% (22/50) | -18% | 50 |
| Sports | 56% (18/32) | -7% | 32 |
| Crypto | 42% (5/12) | +28% | 12 |
| Geopolitics | 36% (4/11) | -52% | 11 |
| Tech | 38% (3/8) | -22% | 8 |
| Culture | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
- Other85 bets
- Hit rate
- 62% (53/85)
- ROI
- +32%
- Politics50 bets
- Hit rate
- 44% (22/50)
- ROI
- -18%
- Sports32 bets
- Hit rate
- 56% (18/32)
- ROI
- -7%
- Crypto12 bets
- Hit rate
- 42% (5/12)
- ROI
- +28%
- Geopolitics11 bets
- Hit rate
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- -52%
- Tech8 bets
- Hit rate
- 38% (3/8)
- ROI
- -22%
- Culture2 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
53% hit · 105/200- No$94 @ 58.7¢
- Seattle Mariners$2 @ 73.0¢
- Tampa Bay Rays$1 @ 29.0¢
- Mathilde Ngijol-Carre$2 @ 51.0¢
- Remy Bertola$4 @ 50.0¢
- Maria Sakkari$9 @ 89.4¢
- Polina Kudermetova$2 @ 32.0¢
- No$4 @ 49.9¢
- No$4 @ 72.6¢
- No$1 @ 25.0¢
- No$22 @ 37.5¢
- Morocco$3 @ 50.0¢
- No$13 @ 58.2¢
- Yes$3 @ 47.2¢
- No$21 @ 62.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 17.3¢
- Yes$11 @ 60.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 4.0¢
- Over$3 @ 54.0¢
- Yes$7 @ 29.3¢
- No$15 @ 59.5¢
- Yes$3 @ 12.4¢
- Cincinnati Reds$1 @ 54.0¢
- Argentina$35 @ 76.6¢
- Yes$6 @ 78.4¢
- No$17 @ 66.8¢
- Yes$44 @ 27.2¢
- Mia Pohankova$6 @ 27.4¢
- Yes$4 @ 58.3¢
- Yes$88 @ 39.9¢
- Daniel Milavsky$31 @ 73.4¢
- Duncan Chan$4 @ 18.8¢
- Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi$2 @ 83.0¢
- Over$1 @ 38.2¢
- Franco Agamenone$25 @ 39.1¢
- No$15 @ 83.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
- No$9 @ 80.7¢
- Yes$52 @ 30.0¢
- No$4 @ 0.9¢
- No$4 @ 84.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 17.1¢
- No$39 @ 32.9¢
- Yes$38 @ 21.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 74.0¢
- Mayar Sherif$3 @ 46.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 65.2¢
- Yes$22 @ 86.8¢
- Argentina$4 @ 87.0¢
- Lanlana Tararudee$10 @ 73.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$42 @ 46.3¢
- Yes$39 @ 15.4¢
- Yes$29 @ 25.9¢
- Yes$27 @ 57.8¢
- Yes$11 @ 5.4¢
- No$10 @ 90.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 14.9¢
- No$7 @ 95.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 11.2¢
- No$6 @ 72.3¢
- Yes$6 @ 10.9¢
- Yes$6 @ 15.9¢
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?GeopoliticsNo$5 @ 48.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 1.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 26.8¢
- Yes$4 @ 46.2¢
- Yes$4 @ 30.1¢
- Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$3 @ 51.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 47.4¢
- Yes$3 @ 10.5¢
- Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 9.4¢
- Yes$2 @ 17.1¢
- Yes$2 @ 8.6¢
- Yes$1 @ 19.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 25.0¢
- Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1 @ 90.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 39.2¢