0x2721…cf8a

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Politics18 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (9/18)

  ROI

  +146%

• Sports8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  -31%

• Crypto8 bets

  Hit rate

  38% (3/8)

  ROI

  +3%

• Tech3 bets

  Hit rate

  67% (2/3)

  ROI

  +20%

• Geopolitics2 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (1/2)

  ROI

  +61%

• Other1 bets

  Hit rate

  100% (1/1)

  ROI

  +18%

• Culture1 bets

  Hit rate

  0% (0/1)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will France win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$5 @ 64.9¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 75.8¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$10 @ 8.9¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 31.9¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Lost
  No$1 @ 20.0¢
• Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 49.0¢
• Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  No$6 @ 55.0¢
• Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Won
  Yes$2 @ 48.0¢
• Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 0.5¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Won
  No$18 @ 43.1¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 3.5¢
• Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?Won
  No$3 @ 50.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Lost
  No$13 @ 46.5¢
• Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 1.1¢
• Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Won
  No$16 @ 56.3¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?Won
  No$7 @ 52.9¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Lost
  No$137 @ 64.7¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$458 @ 27.9¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Won
  Yes$15 @ 70.6¢
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 5.2¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$35 @ 6.3¢
• Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Lost
  Yes$3 @ 54.0¢
• Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?Won
  Yes$4 @ 62.3¢
• MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Won
  Yes$4 @ 66.9¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
• Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 0.7¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?Lost
  Yes$4 @ 4.6¢
• Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Lost
  Yes$6 @ 3.1¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Won
  Yes$59 @ 24.5¢
• Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 41.4¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Lost
  No$8 @ 19.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Won
  Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
• Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Won
  No$1 @ 35.0¢
• Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Won
  No$1 @ 79.0¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Won
  Yes$54 @ 89.0¢
• Ethereum flipped in 2026?Lost
  No$14 @ 32.7¢
• SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Won
  Yes$10 @ 90.0¢
• Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Won
  Yes$8 @ 84.6¢
• Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$2 @ 82.7¢
• Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Won
  Yes$5 @ 78.3¢

Current positions

• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics
  Yes$137 @ 97.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics
  Yes$120 @ 57.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Geopolitics
  Yes$88 @ 18.4¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$57 @ 46.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics
  Yes$57 @ 64.4¢
• Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Crypto
  No$54 @ 71.0¢
• Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Crypto
  No$45 @ 66.3¢
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$41 @ 15.4¢
• World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?Sports
  No$39 @ 95.5¢
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics
  Yes$31 @ 58.1¢
• Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto
  Yes$29 @ 26.3¢
• Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$27 @ 25.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Politics
  No$21 @ 91.2¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Politics
  No$13 @ 46.5¢
• Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$12 @ 89.0¢
• Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics
  Yes$12 @ 66.4¢
• Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  No$12 @ 89.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 30.7¢
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 5.4¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 66.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Politics
  Yes$11 @ 20.8¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Geopolitics
  No$11 @ 77.3¢
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics
  No$10 @ 90.4¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics
  Yes$10 @ 4.2¢
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics
  Yes$8 @ 3.0¢
• Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Geopolitics
  Yes$8 @ 86.3¢
• Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
  Yes$8 @ 5.9¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics
  Yes$7 @ 15.9¢
• Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Geopolitics
  Yes$7 @ 8.1¢
• Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics
  No$7 @ 95.3¢