0x231b…73df

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x231b923ef301b60f2ca041d658ad8c05432e73df
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Profitable

Edge

+43.8pp

ROI

+121%

Win rate

72% @ 28.6¢

Brier

0.323

Resolved

116

Avg size

$96

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Politics	60% (6/10)	+136%	10
Other	40% (4/10)	-31%	10
Geopolitics	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Politics10 bets
Hit rate
60% (6/10)
ROI
+136%
Other10 bets
Hit rate
40% (4/10)
ROI
-31%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

48% hit · 10/21

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$24	9.3¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Yes	$136	22.7¢	Won
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$529	9.7¢	Lost
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?	Yes	$96	0.7¢	Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	$56	14.0¢	Won
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$315	21.0¢	Lost
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	No	$108	88.6¢	Won
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	$22	0.3¢	Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$335	8.0¢	Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$7.1k	33.9¢	Won
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$8	0.4¢	Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$224	16.0¢	Lost
Will Real Betis win La Liga?	Yes	$11	0.3¢	Lost
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	$148	88.0¢	Won
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1.1k	77.5¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$450	81.0¢	Won
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?	No	$60	12.0¢	Lost
Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Assists?	Yes	$17	0.2¢	Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?	No	$10	87.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$298	20.5¢	Lost
Solana ETF approved in 2025?	Yes	$61	87.7¢	Won

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
No$24 @ 9.3¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Won
Yes$136 @ 22.7¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Lost
Yes$529 @ 9.7¢
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?Lost
Yes$96 @ 0.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Won
No$56 @ 14.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Lost
Yes$315 @ 21.0¢
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Won
No$108 @ 88.6¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Lost
Yes$22 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$335 @ 8.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Won
Yes$7.1k @ 33.9¢
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 0.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Lost
Yes$224 @ 16.0¢
Will Real Betis win La Liga?Lost
Yes$11 @ 0.3¢
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?Won
Yes$148 @ 88.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$1.1k @ 77.5¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$450 @ 81.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?Lost
No$60 @ 12.0¢
Will Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Assists?Lost
Yes$17 @ 0.2¢
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?Won
No$10 @ 87.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Lost
Yes$298 @ 20.5¢
Solana ETF approved in 2025?Won
Yes$61 @ 87.7¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	Tech	No	$234	78.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Crypto	Yes	$167	51.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$89	89.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Tech	Yes	$79	93.0¢
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Tech	No	$73	73.0¢
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$42	77.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Tech	Yes	$33	82.0¢
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	Crypto	No	$26	98.7¢

Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Tech
No$234 @ 78.0¢
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto
Yes$167 @ 51.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?Other
No$89 @ 89.0¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Tech
Yes$79 @ 93.0¢
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Tech
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Solana dip to $30 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$42 @ 77.1¢
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Tech
Yes$33 @ 82.0¢
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?Crypto
No$26 @ 98.7¢