0x20bc…a3a7

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x20bcdf5a9c7696d1134cba8d77067d2a967fa3a7
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

-29.7pp

ROI

+13%

Win rate

18% @ 48.2¢

Brier

0.188

Resolved

168

Avg size

$6.4k

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (5/19)	-5%	19
Sports	58% (7/12)	+28%	12
Politics	100% (2/2)	+28%	2
Geopolitics	100% (1/1)	+19%	1

Other19 bets
Hit rate
26% (5/19)
ROI
-5%
Sports12 bets
Hit rate
58% (7/12)
ROI
+28%
Politics2 bets
Hit rate
100% (2/2)
ROI
+28%
Geopolitics1 bets
Hit rate
100% (1/1)
ROI
+19%

Track record

44% hit · 15/34

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5	Over	$10	1.9¢	Lost
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	$1000	73.0¢	Lost
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5	Under	$2.5k	57.9¢	Lost
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5	Under	$2.7k	44.9¢	Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$31.6k	77.2¢	Won
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$2.0k	2.3¢	Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$106.4k	83.9¢	Won
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Lost
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	Yes	$82.1k	46.7¢	Lost
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	No	$5.4k	43.3¢	Lost
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	No	$10.0k	89.0¢	Won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	$77.1k	86.4¢	Won
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Under	$2.5k	58.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?	Yes	$1.0k	23.2¢	Lost
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$329.4k	78.5¢	Won
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	No	$10.0k	89.0¢	Won
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$32.0k	78.9¢	Won
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	No	$893	9.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	$2.0k	86.0¢	Won
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$1.0k	67.0¢	Lost
Weili vs. Suarez	Weili	$20.1k	49.6¢	Won
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	$1.1k	52.0¢	Lost
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?	Yes	$1.2k	28.3¢	Lost
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?	Yes	$51	1.9¢	Lost
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	$613	29.0¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?	Yes	$21	1.7¢	Lost
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	Yes	$18	0.7¢	Lost
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$119.6k	57.7¢	Won
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?	No	$2.3k	89.8¢	Won
Hornets vs. Thunder	Thunder	$64.4k	89.0¢	Lost
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$1.0k	55.0¢	Lost
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5	Over	$100.7k	76.4¢	Won
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?	No	$95.7k	85.4¢	Won
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?	Yes	$10	1.1¢	Lost

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Lost
Over$10 @ 1.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Lost
Yes$1000 @ 73.0¢
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5Lost
Under$2.5k @ 57.9¢
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Lost
Under$2.7k @ 44.9¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$31.6k @ 77.2¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Lost
Yes$2.0k @ 2.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Won
No$106.4k @ 83.9¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsLost
Yes$82.1k @ 46.7¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Lost
No$5.4k @ 43.3¢
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?Won
No$10.0k @ 89.0¢
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Won
Yes$77.1k @ 86.4¢
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Lost
Under$2.5k @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 23.2¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Won
Yes$329.4k @ 78.5¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?Won
No$10.0k @ 89.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Won
Yes$32.0k @ 78.9¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Won
No$893 @ 9.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Won
Yes$2.0k @ 86.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 67.0¢
Weili vs. SuarezWon
Weili$20.1k @ 49.6¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Lost
Yes$1.1k @ 52.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?Lost
Yes$1.2k @ 28.3¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?Lost
Yes$51 @ 1.9¢
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?Won
Yes$613 @ 29.0¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?Lost
Yes$21 @ 1.7¢
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Lost
Yes$18 @ 0.7¢
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Won
Yes$119.6k @ 57.7¢
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Won
No$2.3k @ 89.8¢
Hornets vs. ThunderLost
Thunder$64.4k @ 89.0¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Lost
Yes$1.0k @ 55.0¢
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Won
Over$100.7k @ 76.4¢
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Won
No$95.7k @ 85.4¢
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?Lost
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals	—	Yes	$80.2k	46.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Politics	Yes	$9.3k	77.3¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	—	No	$5.3k	43.3¢
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5	Sports	Under	$2.7k	44.9¢
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5	—	Under	$2.5k	57.9¢
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5	Sports	Under	$2.5k	58.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?	—	Yes	$1.2k	28.2¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	—	Yes	$1.1k	52.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	—	Yes	$1000	73.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Sports	Yes	$1000	67.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?	—	Yes	$1000	23.2¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?	—	Yes	$50	1.9¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?	—	Yes	$20	1.7¢
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?	—	Yes	$10	1.1¢
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5	—	Over	$10	1.9¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	Yes	$1	0.3¢

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals—
Yes$80.2k @ 46.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
Yes$9.3k @ 77.3¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?—
No$5.3k @ 43.3¢
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 0.5Sports
Under$2.7k @ 44.9¢
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 0.5—
Under$2.5k @ 57.9¢
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5Sports
Under$2.5k @ 58.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?—
Yes$1.2k @ 28.2¢
Will France win on 2026-07-18?—
Yes$1.1k @ 52.0¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?—
Yes$1000 @ 73.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Sports
Yes$1000 @ 67.0¢
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 1 New Zealand?—
Yes$1000 @ 23.2¢
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Japan?—
Yes$50 @ 1.9¢
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan?—
Yes$20 @ 1.7¢
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Japan?—
Yes$10 @ 1.1¢
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 6.5—
Over$10 @ 1.9¢
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢