← Smart money
0x12d6…f2a8
ProfitableSniperEdge
+12.9pp
ROI
+34%
Win rate
58% @ 45.1¢
Brier
0.236
Resolved
164
Avg size
$576
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 50% (4/8) | +32% | 8 |
| Tech | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
| Sports | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Politics8 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (4/8)
- ROI
- +32%
- Tech1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
- Sports1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
40% hit · 4/10| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | $19.1k | 19.3¢ | Lost |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $74.4k | 58.9¢ | Won |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $552 | 6.0¢ | Lost |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | No | $1.4k | 89.0¢ | Won |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $231 | 2.1¢ | Lost |
| Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $106 | 2.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | $4.5k | 86.0¢ | Won |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | $999 | 22.4¢ | Lost |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | $312 | 6.0¢ | Lost |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | $5.8k | 87.3¢ | Won |
- No$19.1k @ 19.3¢
- Yes$74.4k @ 58.9¢
- Yes$552 @ 6.0¢
- No$1.4k @ 89.0¢
- Yes$231 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$106 @ 2.0¢
- No$4.5k @ 86.0¢
- No$999 @ 22.4¢
- No$312 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$5.8k @ 87.3¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$89.3k @ 50.0¢
- No$89.3k @ 50.0¢
- Yes$54.3k @ 64.1¢
- Yes$26.9k @ 32.1¢
- No$6.9k @ 82.3¢
- Yes$5.2k @ 88.7¢
- Yes$1.7k @ 43.0¢
- Yes$1.3k @ 20.5¢
- Yes$526 @ 59.6¢
- Yes$453 @ 62.0¢
- No$442 @ 15.6¢
- No$365 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$288 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$186 @ 62.0¢
- No$103 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$83 @ 2.6¢
- Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?—Yes$17 @ 1.9¢
- No$8 @ 81.0¢
- No$0 @ 15.0¢