0x12ac…cae8

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x12acf6e08e7d590b192ae86b67f288ddb04bcae8
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+6.5pp

ROI

+40%

Win rate

38% @ 31.1¢

Brier

0.205

Resolved

343

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	35% (73/211)	+41%	211
Science	11% (4/38)	-77%	38
Politics	100% (3/3)	+109%	3

Other211 bets
Hit rate
35% (73/211)
ROI
+41%
Science38 bets
Hit rate
11% (4/38)
ROI
-77%
Politics3 bets
Hit rate
100% (3/3)
ROI
+109%

Track record

32% hit · 80/252

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	No	$1	14.4¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?	Yes	$3	35.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?	Yes	$3	23.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	$3	26.2¢	Won
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?	Yes	$1	33.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$2	36.3¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?	Yes	$3	30.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?	No	$1	82.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	$2	29.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	$6	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	$2	39.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?	Yes	$1	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$2	18.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?	Yes	$2	9.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	27.2¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 20?	Yes	$3	88.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	$4	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?	No	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	$1	6.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	$2	27.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	$1	26.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	$2	34.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 29?	No	$1	78.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?	Yes	$1	10.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	22.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?	No	$1	62.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	$1	12.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?	Yes	$1	80.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	$2	49.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$4	84.7¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	23.8¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	$1	2.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	$2	15.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	$2	28.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?	Yes	$2	39.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	$1	26.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	$1	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	$1	10.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?	Yes	$1	26.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28?	Yes	$5	20.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 28?	Yes	$1	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 29?	No	$1	77.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?	Yes	$1	4.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	$1	6.9¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	$3	17.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Lost

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?Won
No$1 @ 14.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?Lost
Yes$3 @ 35.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?Won
Yes$3 @ 23.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?Won
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?Won
Yes$3 @ 26.2¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 33.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$2 @ 36.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?Won
Yes$3 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 20?Won
No$1 @ 82.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?Lost
Yes$2 @ 29.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 22?Lost
Yes$6 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?Won
Yes$2 @ 39.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?Won
Yes$1 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 18.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 27?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 29?Won
Yes$1 @ 27.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 20?Lost
Yes$3 @ 88.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?Won
Yes$4 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?Won
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$2 @ 27.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?Won
Yes$2 @ 34.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 29?Won
No$1 @ 78.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 22.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 28?Lost
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 12.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?Won
Yes$1 @ 80.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?Won
Yes$2 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?Won
Yes$4 @ 84.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 29?Won
Yes$1 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 26?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$2 @ 15.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 28.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$2 @ 39.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?Lost
Yes$1 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?Lost
Yes$1 @ 10.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 23?Lost
Yes$1 @ 26.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 28?Lost
Yes$5 @ 20.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 28?Lost
Yes$1 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 29?Won
No$1 @ 77.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 4.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 29?Lost
Yes$1 @ 6.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?Won
Yes$3 @ 17.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 30?Lost
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$5	18.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$4	54.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$4	24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$3	41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$3	33.9¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	No	$3	97.7¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Politics	No	$3	87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$2	49.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$2	28.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?	—	Yes	$2	33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$2	36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?	—	Yes	$2	37.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 2?	—	Yes	$2	46.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$2	41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 3?	—	Yes	$2	34.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$2	32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$2	35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$1	37.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$1	33.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$1	9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$1	28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2?	—	No	$1	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 2?	—	Yes	$1	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$1	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$1	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$1	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$1	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$1	16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 3?	—	Yes	$1	16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?	—	Yes	$1	20.0¢

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?—
Yes$5 @ 18.1¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?—
Yes$4 @ 54.0¢
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 3?—
Yes$4 @ 24.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?—
Yes$3 @ 41.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?—
Yes$3 @ 33.9¢
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports
No$3 @ 97.7¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
No$3 @ 87.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 2?—
Yes$2 @ 49.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 2?—
Yes$2 @ 28.1¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?—
Yes$2 @ 33.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 3?—
Yes$2 @ 36.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?—
Yes$2 @ 37.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 2?—
Yes$2 @ 46.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?—
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 3?—
Yes$2 @ 34.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?—
Yes$2 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?—
Yes$2 @ 35.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 2?—
Yes$1 @ 37.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 2?—
Yes$1 @ 33.6¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 2?—
Yes$1 @ 9.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 2?—
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2?—
No$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 2?—
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 3?—
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 4?—
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 4?—
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 3?—
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 4?—
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 3?—
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 4?—
Yes$1 @ 20.0¢