← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 2, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

35.0¢

No

65.0¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 9 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 91%No 9%

9 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x19f4…c772	Yes	$80	13.7¢	13×	+42%	38%	Sharp
0x802d…d59a	Yes	$32	26.8¢	10×	+60%	25%	Sharp
0x397c…ca1b	Yes	$10	41.0¢	3.8×	+47%	16%	Sharp
0x0a0c…a853	No	$10	57.0¢	3.2×	+29%	36%	Sharp
0x490e…123a	Yes	$5	23.0¢	1.0×	+15%	50%	Sharp
0x12ac…cae8	Yes	$3	41.4¢	2.8×	+40%	38%	Sharp
0xfe01…87d3	Yes	$3	44.5¢	0.5×	+26%	37%	Sharp
0xabb7…df91	No	$2	82.3¢	0.7×	+64%	58%	Profitable
0x38e2…2909	No	$2	82.3¢	0.7×	+74%	67%	Profitable

0x19f4…c772Sharp

Yes$80 @ 13.7¢

Conv: 13×
ROI: +42%
Win%: 38%

0x802d…d59aSharp

Yes$32 @ 26.8¢

Conv: 10×
ROI: +60%
Win%: 25%

0x397c…ca1bSharp

Yes$10 @ 41.0¢

Conv: 3.8×
ROI: +47%
Win%: 16%

0x0a0c…a853Sharp

No$10 @ 57.0¢

Conv: 3.2×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 36%

0x490e…123aSharp

Yes$5 @ 23.0¢

Conv: 1.0×
ROI: +15%
Win%: 50%

0x12ac…cae8Sharp

Yes$3 @ 41.4¢

Conv: 2.8×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 38%

0xfe01…87d3Sharp

Yes$3 @ 44.5¢

Conv: 0.5×
ROI: +26%
Win%: 37%

0xabb7…df91Profitable

No$2 @ 82.3¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +64%
Win%: 58%

0x38e2…2909Profitable

No$2 @ 82.3¢

Conv: 0.7×
ROI: +74%
Win%: 67%