← Market consensus

Activeends Jul 2, 2026

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?

View on Polymarket ↗

Yes

35.5¢

No

64.5¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Strong

Yes 95%No 5%

8 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xe7db…959b	Yes	$18	40.3¢	13×	+6%	27%	Sharp
0x0a0c…a853	Yes	$10	35.0¢	3.2×	+29%	36%	Sharp
0x397c…ca1b	Yes	$9	36.0¢	3.4×	+47%	16%	Sharp
0x3e96…b306	Yes	$2	37.0¢	1.1×	+20%	34%	Sharp
0x12ac…cae8	Yes	$2	33.4¢	1.8×	+40%	38%	Sharp
0xabb7…df91	No	$1	65.0¢	0.4×	+64%	58%	Profitable
0x38e2…2909	No	$1	65.0¢	0.3×	+74%	67%	Profitable
0xe040…824f	Yes	$0	9.1¢	0.0×	+65%	74%	Profitable

0xe7db…959bSharp

Yes$18 @ 40.3¢

Conv: 13×
ROI: +6%
Win%: 27%

0x0a0c…a853Sharp

Yes$10 @ 35.0¢

Conv: 3.2×
ROI: +29%
Win%: 36%

0x397c…ca1bSharp

Yes$9 @ 36.0¢

Conv: 3.4×
ROI: +47%
Win%: 16%

0x3e96…b306Sharp

Yes$2 @ 37.0¢

Conv: 1.1×
ROI: +20%
Win%: 34%

0x12ac…cae8Sharp

Yes$2 @ 33.4¢

Conv: 1.8×
ROI: +40%
Win%: 38%

0xabb7…df91Profitable

No$1 @ 65.0¢

Conv: 0.4×
ROI: +64%
Win%: 58%

0x38e2…2909Profitable

No$1 @ 65.0¢

Conv: 0.3×
ROI: +74%
Win%: 67%

0xe040…824fProfitable

Yes$0 @ 9.1¢

Conv: 0.0×
ROI: +65%
Win%: 74%