← Smart money
0x10b2…4ceb
SharpEdge
+2.0pp
ROI
+12%
Win rate
26% @ 24.4¢
Brier
0.176
Resolved
4202
Avg size
$9
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 27% (89/324) | +5% | 324 |
| Other | 31% (61/196) | +78% | 196 |
| Sports | 30% (46/151) | -6% | 151 |
| Tech | 21% (9/43) | -12% | 43 |
| Geopolitics | 13% (5/40) | -87% | 40 |
| Economy | 21% (6/29) | -37% | 29 |
| Science | 15% (4/27) | -45% | 27 |
| Culture | 18% (3/17) | +170% | 17 |
| Crypto | 27% (3/11) | +92% | 11 |
- Politics324 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (89/324)
- ROI
- +5%
- Other196 bets
- Hit rate
- 31% (61/196)
- ROI
- +78%
- Sports151 bets
- Hit rate
- 30% (46/151)
- ROI
- -6%
- Tech43 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (9/43)
- ROI
- -12%
- Geopolitics40 bets
- Hit rate
- 13% (5/40)
- ROI
- -87%
- Economy29 bets
- Hit rate
- 21% (6/29)
- ROI
- -37%
- Science27 bets
- Hit rate
- 15% (4/27)
- ROI
- -45%
- Culture17 bets
- Hit rate
- 18% (3/17)
- ROI
- +170%
- Crypto11 bets
- Hit rate
- 27% (3/11)
- ROI
- +92%
Track record
27% hit · 226/838- Yes$5 @ 33.7¢
- No$2 @ 40.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 13.8¢
- Yes$40 @ 40.0¢
- No$23 @ 23.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
- Spurs$15 @ 28.3¢
- Hamad Medjedovic$189 @ 35.6¢
- Knicks$0 @ 12.7¢
- Under$18 @ 35.0¢
- Knicks$3 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
- No$32 @ 37.9¢
- Yes$1 @ 14.0¢
- Yes$13 @ 31.7¢
- Under$5 @ 44.0¢
- No$114 @ 27.5¢
- Yes$5 @ 28.5¢
- Yes$104 @ 7.8¢
- Yes$6 @ 3.5¢
- No$4 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 30.0¢
- No$8 @ 12.2¢
- Over$102 @ 29.3¢
- Yes$113 @ 13.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 34.3¢
- Yes$8 @ 19.8¢
- No$48 @ 44.7¢
- Yes$30 @ 33.6¢
- Yes$12 @ 15.3¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.9¢
- Under$30 @ 12.0¢
- Milwaukee Brewers$102 @ 38.0¢
- No$3 @ 7.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 43.3¢
- Tristan Boyer$1 @ 31.0¢
- Dallas Wings$76 @ 35.6¢
- Thiago Cigarran$5 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$19 @ 29.0¢
- No$11 @ 37.0¢
- Yes$890 @ 7.3¢
- Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 6.8¢
- Yes$102 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 5.1¢
- No$6 @ 37.7¢
- Yes$72 @ 14.3¢
- Yes$5 @ 25.5¢
- Yes$9 @ 7.1¢
- No$1 @ 32.0¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
- Yes$150 @ 28.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$125 @ 17.0¢
- No$107 @ 16.3¢
- Yes$100 @ 41.6¢
- Yes$100 @ 37.2¢
- Yes$100 @ 36.1¢
- No$100 @ 42.0¢
- Yes$99 @ 23.6¢
- Yes$92 @ 8.1¢
- Yes$91 @ 25.0¢
- No$87 @ 35.4¢
- Yes$79 @ 16.8¢
- No$69 @ 39.4¢
- Yes$63 @ 18.0¢
- No$60 @ 45.0¢
- No$57 @ 23.0¢
- No$57 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$55 @ 2.1¢
- Yes$51 @ 46.0¢
- Yes$51 @ 4.3¢
- Yes$41 @ 25.8¢
- Yes$30 @ 11.0¢
- No$28 @ 39.0¢
- No$25 @ 41.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 39.0¢
- Yes$24 @ 6.0¢
- Yes$23 @ 5.1¢
- Yes$23 @ 38.6¢
- Yes$22 @ 2.5¢