← Smart money
0x0f07…b296
ProfitableEdge
+21.5pp
ROI
+129%
Win rate
72% @ 50.8¢
Brier
0.257
Resolved
166
Avg size
$53
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (12/24) | +11% | 24 |
| Politics | 46% (6/13) | +229% | 13 |
- Other24 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (12/24)
- ROI
- +11%
- Politics13 bets
- Hit rate
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- +229%
Track record
49% hit · 18/37- No$6 @ 30.1¢
- No$213 @ 77.3¢
- Yes$9 @ 6.0¢
- No$41 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
- Yes$38 @ 7.0¢
- No$32 @ 85.6¢
- Yes$39 @ 13.0¢
- No$4.0k @ 26.7¢
- Yes$131 @ 25.4¢
- Yes$7 @ 71.0¢
- No$47 @ 47.0¢
- No$499 @ 65.6¢
- Yes$187 @ 83.8¢
- No$26 @ 81.1¢
- Yes$4 @ 64.7¢
- Yes$5 @ 40.0¢
- No$100 @ 60.7¢
- No$67 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 10.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 18.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 16.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 88.9¢
- Yes$67 @ 60.6¢
- Yes$2 @ 2.1¢
- No$44 @ 36.8¢
- Yes$251 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- No$14 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$962 @ 39.8¢
- Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 59.3¢
- Yes$134 @ 4.7¢
- Yes$230 @ 36.0¢
- Yes$388 @ 77.6¢
- Yes$78 @ 26.0¢
- Yes$100 @ 30.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | — | Yes | $962 | 39.8¢ |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Politics | No | $8 | 19.0¢ |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | — | No | $6 | 30.1¢ |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $3 | 3.0¢ |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $2 | 38.0¢ |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Politics | Yes | $1 | 64.7¢ |
- Yes$962 @ 39.8¢
- No$8 @ 19.0¢
- No$6 @ 30.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 38.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 64.7¢