← Smart money
0x0e5b…a593
ProfitableEdge
+73.2pp
ROI
+283%
Win rate
94% @ 20.3¢
Brier
0.576
Resolved
31
Avg size
$512
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 100% (1/1) | +233% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
| Crypto | 100% (1/1) | +322% | 1 |
- Politics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +233%
- Geopolitics1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +322%
Track record
100% hit · 3/3| Market | Outcome | Size | Entry | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $14.4k | 23.7¢ | Won |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $4.8k | 30.0¢ | Won |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | No | $199.0k | 99.5¢ | Won |
- No$14.4k @ 23.7¢
- Yes$4.8k @ 30.0¢
- No$199.0k @ 99.5¢
Recent trades
live from Polymarket · click a column to sortLoading recent trades…
Current positions
| Market | Sphere | Outcome | Size | Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $339.3k | 99.6¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | No | $309.6k | 99.7¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $89.3k | 46.7¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Politics | Yes | $52.6k | 27.3¢ |
- No$339.3k @ 99.6¢
- No$309.6k @ 99.7¢
- Yes$89.3k @ 46.7¢
- Yes$52.6k @ 27.3¢