PoliticsActiveends Oct 26, 2026

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?

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Yes

0.3¢

No

99.8¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 3 tracked sharps

Unanimous

Yes 100%

Include 1 outside the consensus pool3 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0x0130…fb49	Yes	$104	11.1¢	1.8×	+23%	61%	Profitable
0xf6f6…0e74	Yes	$24	11.1¢	1.2×	+11%	52%	Sharp
0x4488…e319	Yes	$23	0.1¢	0.1×	+22%	58%	Sharp

0x0130…fb49Profitable

Yes$104 @ 11.1¢

Conv: 1.8×
ROI: +23%
Win%: 61%

0xf6f6…0e74Sharp

Yes$24 @ 11.1¢

Conv: 1.2×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 52%

0x4488…e319Sharp

Yes$23 @ 0.1¢

Conv: 0.1×
ROI: +22%
Win%: 58%