0x0130…fb49

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

• Other208 bets

  Hit rate

  62% (128/208)

  ROI

  +40%

• Politics69 bets

  Hit rate

  30% (21/69)

  ROI

  +14%

• Culture12 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (6/12)

  ROI

  -12%

• Economy11 bets

  Hit rate

  45% (5/11)

  ROI

  -0%

• Tech10 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (5/10)

  ROI

  -17%

• Geopolitics8 bets

  Hit rate

  50% (4/8)

  ROI

  +1%

• Will Elon tweet 1400 or more times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1320-1359 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1200-1239 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$5 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1160-1199 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1360-1399 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1280-1319 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1080-1119 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1240-1279 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1000-1039 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$8 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 1120-1159 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?Won
  No$1 @ 63.0¢
• Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?Won
  Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$1 @ 10.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 10.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?Lost
  Yes$13 @ 10.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Lost
  No$0 @ 0.4¢
• Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?Lost
  No$44 @ 23.7¢
• Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 3.1¢
• Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Lost
  No$109 @ 84.0¢
• Will "A Minecraft Movie" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Won
  No$12 @ 92.2¢
• Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$0 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$2 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Won
  Yes$0 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Won
  No$82 @ 61.0¢
• Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?Lost
  Yes$17 @ 3.8¢
• Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?Won
  No$39 @ 89.9¢
• Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Won
  No$35 @ 49.1¢
• Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Won
  No$204 @ 18.7¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
  No$3.0k @ 64.7¢
• Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?Won
  No$113 @ 84.2¢
• Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 7?Won
  No$28 @ 37.7¢
• Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on July 7?Won
  No$0 @ 83.8¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Lost
  No$169 @ 26.8¢

Current positions

• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics
  No$2.7k @ 42.6¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics
  Yes$1.1k @ 20.0¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics
  Yes$1.0k @ 20.0¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
  No$805 @ 75.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$799 @ 20.0¢
• Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Politics
  No$786 @ 80.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$512 @ 20.0¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$435 @ 20.0¢
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics
  Yes$323 @ 20.0¢
• Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Tech
  No$176 @ 58.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech
  No$122 @ 63.8¢
• Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?Culture
  No$93 @ 60.0¢
• Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Politics
  No$90 @ 97.3¢
• Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy
  No$88 @ 34.0¢
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Politics
  No$87 @ 56.8¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics
  No$85 @ 39.4¢
• Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$83 @ 3.1¢
• Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$83 @ 3.1¢
• Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Politics
  No$75 @ 96.7¢
• Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$71 @ 3.1¢
• Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢
• Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics
  Yes$67 @ 3.1¢