0xf6f6…0e74

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0xf6f687d9c728a4fc5590d71e2e53b9d418e20e74
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+3.2pp

ROI

+11%

Win rate

52% @ 48.8¢

Brier

0.198

Resolved

1146

Avg size

$20

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Science	39% (93/238)	-6%	238
Other	63% (113/179)	+17%	179
Politics	41% (58/141)	+6%	141
Crypto	48% (41/85)	-1%	85
Sports	52% (33/64)	+10%	64
Geopolitics	67% (4/6)	-15%	6
Tech	50% (1/2)	+27%	2
Economy	50% (1/2)	+19%	2

Science238 bets
Hit rate
39% (93/238)
ROI
-6%
Other179 bets
Hit rate
63% (113/179)
ROI
+17%
Politics141 bets
Hit rate
41% (58/141)
ROI
+6%
Crypto85 bets
Hit rate
48% (41/85)
ROI
-1%
Sports64 bets
Hit rate
52% (33/64)
ROI
+10%
Geopolitics6 bets
Hit rate
67% (4/6)
ROI
-15%
Tech2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+27%
Economy2 bets
Hit rate
50% (1/2)
ROI
+19%

Track record

48% hit · 344/717

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	Yes	$49	98.1¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 16?	No	$46	92.5¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?	No	$4	8.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on October 15?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 15?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 15?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	$2	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 15?	No	$3	76.0¢	Won
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	$2	48.9¢	Won
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	$50	50.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 15?	No	$4	39.0¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?	No	$48	98.2¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?	No	$42	84.7¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?	Yes	$8	79.6¢	Won
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	No	$8	75.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	$8	14.9¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14?	No	$1	49.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	$6	2.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 13?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on October 13?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 13?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on October 13?	Yes	$1	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 13?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 13?	Yes	$5	9.1¢	Lost

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?Won
Yes$49 @ 98.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 16?Won
No$46 @ 92.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?Lost
No$4 @ 8.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 15?Lost
Yes$2 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 15?Won
No$3 @ 76.0¢
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Won
No$2 @ 48.9¢
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?Lost
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 15?Won
No$4 @ 39.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 15?Won
No$48 @ 98.2¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?Lost
No$42 @ 84.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?Won
Yes$8 @ 79.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?Lost
No$8 @ 75.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?Won
Yes$8 @ 14.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 14?Lost
No$1 @ 49.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 14?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?Lost
Yes$6 @ 2.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 13?Lost
Yes$5 @ 9.1¢

Recent trades

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$130	2.8¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$130	2.8¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$130	2.8¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$130	2.8¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$130	2.8¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Politics	Yes	$87	2.8¢
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Politics	No	$67	75.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$52	89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?	Crypto	Yes	$49	98.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Politics	No	$49	91.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?	Crypto	Yes	$49	98.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 16?	Crypto	No	$46	92.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 17?	Crypto	No	$46	92.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	Politics	No	$37	39.0¢
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Sports	No	$32	54.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?	Politics	No	$29	18.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?	Politics	No	$28	8.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?	Politics	No	$27	27.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Politics	Yes	$24	11.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	Politics	Yes	$24	11.1¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$23	2.8¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$23	2.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Politics	Yes	$20	20.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Politics	Yes	$15	7.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?	Politics	No	$14	14.6¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$13	3.7¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Culture	Yes	$13	3.7¢
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Politics	Yes	$12	3.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?	Politics	No	$12	12.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?	Politics	No	$12	12.0¢

Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$130 @ 2.8¢
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$130 @ 2.8¢
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$130 @ 2.8¢
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$130 @ 2.8¢
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$130 @ 2.8¢
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics
Yes$87 @ 2.8¢
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics
No$67 @ 75.6¢
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics
No$52 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?Crypto
Yes$49 @ 98.6¢
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics
No$49 @ 91.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 16?Crypto
Yes$49 @ 98.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 16?Crypto
No$46 @ 92.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 17?Crypto
No$46 @ 92.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Politics
No$37 @ 39.0¢
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Sports
No$32 @ 54.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?Politics
No$29 @ 18.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?Politics
No$28 @ 8.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Politics
No$27 @ 27.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Politics
Yes$24 @ 11.1¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Politics
Yes$24 @ 11.1¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture
Yes$23 @ 2.8¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture
Yes$23 @ 2.8¢
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolitics
Yes$20 @ 20.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics
Yes$15 @ 7.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Politics
No$14 @ 14.6¢
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$13 @ 3.7¢
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture
Yes$13 @ 3.7¢
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Politics
Yes$12 @ 3.3¢
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Politics
No$12 @ 12.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the FL-05 House seat?Politics
No$12 @ 12.0¢