← Market consensus
Activeends Jul 12, 2026

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?

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Yes

43.5¢

No

56.5¢

Price history

No price · 0–100¢ smart-money trades
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Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Contested
No 54%Yes 46%
9 shown ·
0x85a8…9281Profitable
No$1.2k @ 38.0¢
Conv
6.6×
ROI
+40%
Win%
49%
Yes$866 @ 37.9¢
Conv
1.9×
ROI
+58%
Win%
37%
Yes$289 @ 88.0¢
Conv
0.8×
ROI
+14%
Win%
88%
Yes$202 @ 90.2¢
Conv
5.9×
ROI
+8%
Win%
67%
No$179 @ 7.9¢
Conv
0.7×
ROI
+44%
Win%
48%
No$163 @ 25.0¢
Conv
0.4×
ROI
+58%
Win%
37%
0x6bc7…4ad4Profitable
Yes$6 @ 84.0¢
Conv
0.2×
ROI
+170%
Win%
49%
No$3 @ 23.0¢
Conv
0.0×
ROI
+76%
Win%
61%
No$3 @ 7.0¢
Conv
0.7×
ROI
+25%
Win%
60%