PoliticsActiveends Oct 4, 2026

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?

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Yes

20.9¢

No

79.1¢

Price history

Yes price · 0–100¢● smart-money trades

Smart money here · 8 tracked sharps

Lean

Yes 77%No 23%

Include 6 outside the consensus pool8 shown · click a column to sort

Wallet	Side						Tier
0xbf13…b91a	Yes	$190	12.2¢	5.2×	+11%	50%	Sharp
0x9ea2…665a	Yes	$162	24.0¢	22×	+17%	15%	Sharp
0x0a0c…a853	Yes	$146	25.8¢	11×	+4%	35%	Profitable
0x85d5…bbf0	No	$69	80.4¢	6.2×	+37%	38%	Sharp
0x8fbd…a959	No	$51	72.5¢	6.5×	+9%	31%	Sharp
0x3646…ba5a	Yes	$22	25.0¢	8.1×	+7%	21%	Sharp
0x3b5c…2541	No	$20	97.2¢	4.3×	+12%	76%	Sharp
0xcc83…260c	No	$12	80.6¢	2.0×	+4%	62%	Profitable

0xbf13…b91aSharp

Yes$190 @ 12.2¢

Conv: 5.2×
ROI: +11%
Win%: 50%

0x9ea2…665aSharp

Yes$162 @ 24.0¢

Conv: 22×
ROI: +17%
Win%: 15%

0x0a0c…a853Profitable

Yes$146 @ 25.8¢

Conv: 11×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 35%

0x85d5…bbf0Sharp

No$69 @ 80.4¢

Conv: 6.2×
ROI: +37%
Win%: 38%

0x8fbd…a959Sharp

No$51 @ 72.5¢

Conv: 6.5×
ROI: +9%
Win%: 31%

0x3646…ba5aSharp

Yes$22 @ 25.0¢

Conv: 8.1×
ROI: +7%
Win%: 21%

0x3b5c…2541Sharp

No$20 @ 97.2¢

Conv: 4.3×
ROI: +12%
Win%: 76%

0xcc83…260cProfitable

No$12 @ 80.6¢

Conv: 2.0×
ROI: +4%
Win%: 62%