0x3646…ba5a

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x36469210b7ced93ec7d7fd635bf66df0b898ba5a
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Sharp

Edge

+2.5pp

ROI

+7%

Win rate

21% @ 18.8¢

Brier

0.129

Resolved

4384

Avg size

ROI trend

Specialization by sphere

Sphere	Hit rate	ROI	Bets
Other	26% (229/872)	+6%	872
Science	34% (33/96)	+26%	96
Sports	30% (17/56)	-40%	56
Crypto	13% (3/24)	-28%	24
Politics	20% (4/20)	-12%	20
Geopolitics	25% (2/8)	+80%	8
Tech	20% (1/5)	-82%	5
Culture	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other872 bets
Hit rate
26% (229/872)
ROI
+6%
Science96 bets
Hit rate
34% (33/96)
ROI
+26%
Sports56 bets
Hit rate
30% (17/56)
ROI
-40%
Crypto24 bets
Hit rate
13% (3/24)
ROI
-28%
Politics20 bets
Hit rate
20% (4/20)
ROI
-12%
Geopolitics8 bets
Hit rate
25% (2/8)
ROI
+80%
Tech5 bets
Hit rate
20% (1/5)
ROI
-82%
Culture1 bets
Hit rate
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

Track record

27% hit · 289/1082

Market	Outcome	Size	Entry	Result
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 3?	Yes	$4	20.0¢	Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?	Yes	$8	3.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 2?	Yes	$4	22.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Lost
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 21?	Yes	$6	3.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 25?	Yes	$4	7.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 12?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?	Yes	$7	37.0¢	Won
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	$2	22.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 11?	Yes	$4	18.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on February 26?	Yes	$3	61.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 19?	Yes	$7	6.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?	Yes	$12	19.0¢	Lost
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	$3	3.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?	Yes	$18	34.0¢	Lost
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	$13	30.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 8?	Yes	$4	14.7¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?	Yes	$11	21.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?	Yes	$7	33.0¢	Won
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?	Yes	$2	11.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on February 17?	Yes	$1	2.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 9?	Yes	$1	9.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 2?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 24?	Yes	$3	10.0¢	Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$8	16.0¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?	Yes	$93	73.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?	Yes	$0	14.0¢	Lost
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$10	0.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on June 4?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?	Yes	$1	45.0¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	8.2¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27?	Yes	$15	11.3¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?	Yes	$15	8.5¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 9?	Yes	$4	4.4¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?	Yes	$16	17.5¢	Lost
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	$11	56.0¢	Lost
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$36	11.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 14?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Won
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	$8	26.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?	Yes	$10	23.8¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 2?	Yes	$1	7.5¢	Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	$6	14.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	Yes	$5	36.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 12?	Yes	$13	13.4¢	Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$2	4.0¢	Won
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	Yes	$8	20.5¢	Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?	Yes	$78	28.8¢	Won

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 3?Lost
Yes$4 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?Lost
Yes$8 @ 3.2¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 2?Won
Yes$4 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?Lost
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Lost
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 21?Lost
Yes$6 @ 3.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 25?Lost
Yes$4 @ 7.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 12?Lost
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 15?Won
Yes$7 @ 37.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Won
No$2 @ 22.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 11?Lost
Yes$4 @ 18.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on February 26?Won
Yes$3 @ 61.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 19?Lost
Yes$7 @ 6.4¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 1?Lost
Yes$12 @ 19.0¢
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?Lost
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 3?Lost
Yes$18 @ 34.0¢
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Lost
Yes$13 @ 30.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 28-29°F on February 8?Lost
Yes$4 @ 14.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?Lost
Yes$11 @ 21.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 8?Won
Yes$7 @ 33.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Lost
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 30?Lost
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on February 17?Lost
Yes$1 @ 2.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 9?Lost
Yes$1 @ 9.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 24?Lost
Yes$3 @ 10.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Lost
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 8?Won
Yes$93 @ 73.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 21?Lost
Yes$0 @ 14.0¢
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$10 @ 0.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on June 4?Lost
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?Lost
Yes$1 @ 45.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Lost
Yes$4 @ 8.2¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27?Lost
Yes$15 @ 11.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?Won
Yes$15 @ 8.5¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 9?Lost
Yes$4 @ 4.4¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?Lost
Yes$16 @ 17.5¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Lost
Yes$11 @ 56.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Lost
Yes$36 @ 11.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 14?Won
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Lost
Yes$8 @ 26.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?Lost
Yes$10 @ 23.8¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 2?Lost
Yes$1 @ 7.5¢
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Lost
Yes$6 @ 14.5¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?Won
Yes$5 @ 36.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 12?Lost
Yes$13 @ 13.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Won
No$2 @ 4.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?Lost
Yes$8 @ 20.5¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?Won
Yes$78 @ 28.8¢

Recent trades

live from Polymarket · click a column to sort

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Current positions

Market	Sphere	Outcome	Size	Entry
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?	Politics	Yes	$22	25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4?	Science	No	$17	56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Science	Yes	$16	10.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 4?	Science	Yes	$14	22.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?	Science	No	$13	67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?	Science	No	$13	63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4?	Science	Yes	$12	26.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4?	Science	No	$12	59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?	Science	Yes	$12	20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?	Science	Yes	$10	10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 3?	Science	Yes	$9	25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 4?	Science	Yes	$8	17.0¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?	Science	Yes	$7	23.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3?	Science	Yes	$7	58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	Science	Yes	$6	12.0¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?	Science	Yes	$4	0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 3?	Science	Yes	$4	4.1¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?	Science	Yes	$3	1.0¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Josephine?	Science	Yes	$2	8.3¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco?	Science	Yes	$2	1.2¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?	Science	Yes	$1	1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 3?	Science	Yes	$1	2.4¢

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?Politics
Yes$22 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4?Science
No$17 @ 56.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 3?Science
Yes$16 @ 10.3¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 4?Science
Yes$14 @ 22.7¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?Science
No$13 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?Science
No$13 @ 63.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4?Science
Yes$12 @ 26.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4?Science
No$12 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?Science
Yes$12 @ 20.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 4?Science
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 3?Science
Yes$9 @ 25.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 4?Science
Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo?Science
Yes$7 @ 23.9¢
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 3?Science
Yes$7 @ 58.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?Science
Yes$6 @ 12.0¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Nana?Science
Yes$4 @ 0.7¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 3?Science
Yes$4 @ 4.1¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Leah?Science
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Josephine?Science
Yes$2 @ 8.3¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Marco?Science
Yes$2 @ 1.2¢
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Kyle?Science
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 3?Science
Yes$1 @ 2.4¢