← Smart money
0xfdf3…68ae
SharpEdge
+13.8pp
ROI
+31%
Win rate
58% @ 43.9¢
Brier
0.204
Resolved
527
Avg size
$95
ROI trend
Specialization by sphere
| Sphere | Hit rate | ROI | Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50% (51/103) | +46% | 103 |
| Politics | 52% (16/31) | +39% | 31 |
| Sports | 43% (9/21) | -66% | 21 |
| Geopolitics | 33% (1/3) | -33% | 3 |
| Crypto | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other103 bets
- Hit rate
- 50% (51/103)
- ROI
- +46%
- Politics31 bets
- Hit rate
- 52% (16/31)
- ROI
- +39%
- Sports21 bets
- Hit rate
- 43% (9/21)
- ROI
- -66%
- Geopolitics3 bets
- Hit rate
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -33%
- Crypto1 bets
- Hit rate
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
Track record
48% hit · 77/159- No$195 @ 86.7¢
- No$1 @ 2.9¢
- Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
- Argentina$51 @ 75.0¢
- No$284 @ 48.4¢
- Yes$149 @ 21.4¢
- No$137 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 0.2¢
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?LostYes$20 @ 20.0¢
- Alex Pereira$10 @ 52.0¢
- No$5.7k @ 84.2¢
- No$26 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 2.2¢
- Yes$1.9k @ 48.6¢
- Yes$328 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$108 @ 69.1¢
- Yes$870 @ 66.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 20.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- No$33 @ 48.1¢
- No$24 @ 67.6¢
- Yes$177 @ 43.4¢
- Yes$14 @ 9.8¢
- Yes$1 @ 63.0¢
- Yes$320 @ 88.0¢
- No$10 @ 0.4¢
- Yes$21 @ 5.6¢
- No$645 @ 74.7¢
- Yes$45 @ 45.0¢
- Yes$80 @ 78.2¢
- Yes$131 @ 9.8¢
- No$89 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
- Yes$877 @ 72.1¢
- No$2.0k @ 85.0¢
- No$80 @ 16.4¢
- Yes$10 @ 33.0¢
- No$228 @ 76.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 22.0¢
- Under$10 @ 70.0¢
- Yes$56 @ 55.1¢
- No$30 @ 86.0¢
- No$100 @ 56.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 39.0¢
- Yes$139 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$370 @ 59.0¢
- No$13 @ 78.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 1.0¢
- No$1.8k @ 87.1¢
- Yes$30 @ 6.2¢
Recent trades
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